North Carolina vs. Duke Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 11

North Carolina vs. Duke Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 11

Updated Nov. 11, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The No. 24 North Carolina Tar Heels (7-2) and the Duke Blue Devils (6-3) hit the field to try to take home the Victory Bell on Saturday, November 11, 2023 at Kenan Memorial Stadium. The Tar Heels are massive, 12-point favorites. The point total for the outing is set at 51.5.

Last time around, the Tar Heels defeated the Campbell Fighting Camels, with 59-7 being the final score. The Blue Devils beat the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 24-21, in their last contest.

North Carolina vs. Duke Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Location: Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • TV: ACC Network
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
North Carolina vs Duke Betting Information updated as of November 11, 2023, 2:47 PM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
North Carolina -12 (-109) -482 +361 51.5 -111 -109

North Carolina vs. Duke Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Duke (+12)
  • Pick OU: Under (51.5)
  • Prediction: Duke 27, North Carolina 24

Learn more about the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. the Duke Blue Devils game on FOX Sports!

North Carolina vs. Duke Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Tar Heels 32, Blue Devils 20.
  • The Tar Heels have an 82.8% chance to claim victory in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Blue Devils have a 21.7% implied probability.
  • North Carolina has won six games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
  • Duke has covered four times in eight matchups with a spread this year.

North Carolina vs. Duke: Head-to-Head

  • Over their last two meetings, North Carolina has totaled two wins versus Duke.
  • The two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion while sharing a split 1-1 record in their games against the spread.
  • In their last two head-to-head matchups, North Carolina has scored 76 points versus Duke, while surrendering only 42 points.

North Carolina vs. Duke: 2023 Stats Comparison

North Carolina Duke
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 39.1 (15) 25.7 (85)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 23.3 (49) 15.7 (7)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 7 (10) 10 (30)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 18 (10) 12 (74)

North Carolina 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Drake Maye QB 2,803 YDS (65.9%) / 20 TD / 5 INT
254 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 28.2 RUSH YPG
Omarion Hampton RB 1,067 YDS / 12 TD / 118.6 YPG / 6.1 YPC
16 REC / 157 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.4 REC YPG
Devontez Walker WR 28 REC / 438 YDS / 6 TD / 48.7 YPG
Bryson Nesbit TE 29 REC / 440 YDS / 4 TD / 48.9 YPG
Cedric Gray LB 84 TKL / 6 TFL / 4.5 SACK / 1 INT
Kaimon Rucker LB 37 TKL / 10 TFL / 8 SACK
Power Echols LB 72 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Alijah Huzzie DB 36 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD

Duke 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Jordan Waters RB 564 YDS / 10 TD / 62.7 YPG / 5.6 YPC
Riley Leonard QB 1,102 YDS (57.6%) / 3 TD / 3 INT
352 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 39.1 RUSH YPG
Jaquez Moore RB 481 YDS / 4 TD / 53.4 YPG / 5.6 YPC
Jordan Moore WR 36 REC / 483 YDS / 4 TD / 53.7 YPG
Tre Freeman LB 66 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Jaylen Stinson S 52 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Dorian Mausi LB 49 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Brandon Johnson DB 34 TKL / 6 TFL / 2 SACK
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