North Carolina vs. Duke Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 11

Updated Nov. 11, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 24 North Carolina Tar Heels (7-2) and the Duke Blue Devils (6-3) hit the field to try to take home the Victory Bell on Saturday, November 11, 2023 at Kenan Memorial Stadium. The Tar Heels are massive, 12-point favorites. The point total for the outing is set at 51.5.

Last time around, the Tar Heels defeated the Campbell Fighting Camels, with 59-7 being the final score. The Blue Devils beat the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 24-21, in their last contest.

North Carolina vs. Duke Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
Location: Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
TV: ACC Network
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

North Carolina vs Duke Betting Information updated as of November 11, 2023, 2:47 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
North Carolina	-12 (-109)	-482	+361	51.5	-111	-109

North Carolina vs. Duke Prediction

Pick ATS: Duke (+12)
Pick OU: Under (51.5)
Prediction: Duke 27, North Carolina 24

Learn more about the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. the Duke Blue Devils game on FOX Sports!

North Carolina vs. Duke Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Tar Heels 32, Blue Devils 20.
The Tar Heels have an 82.8% chance to claim victory in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Blue Devils have a 21.7% implied probability.
North Carolina has won six games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
Duke has covered four times in eight matchups with a spread this year.

North Carolina vs. Duke: Head-to-Head

Over their last two meetings, North Carolina has totaled two wins versus Duke.
The two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion while sharing a split 1-1 record in their games against the spread.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, North Carolina has scored 76 points versus Duke, while surrendering only 42 points.

North Carolina vs. Duke: 2023 Stats Comparison

	North Carolina	Duke
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	39.1 (15)	25.7 (85)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	23.3 (49)	15.7 (7)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	7 (10)	10 (30)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	18 (10)	12 (74)

North Carolina 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Drake Maye	QB	2,803 YDS (65.9%) / 20 TD / 5 INT 254 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 28.2 RUSH YPG
Omarion Hampton	RB	1,067 YDS / 12 TD / 118.6 YPG / 6.1 YPC 16 REC / 157 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.4 REC YPG
Devontez Walker	WR	28 REC / 438 YDS / 6 TD / 48.7 YPG
Bryson Nesbit	TE	29 REC / 440 YDS / 4 TD / 48.9 YPG
Cedric Gray	LB	84 TKL / 6 TFL / 4.5 SACK / 1 INT
Kaimon Rucker	LB	37 TKL / 10 TFL / 8 SACK
Power Echols	LB	72 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Alijah Huzzie	DB	36 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD

Duke 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jordan Waters	RB	564 YDS / 10 TD / 62.7 YPG / 5.6 YPC
Riley Leonard	QB	1,102 YDS (57.6%) / 3 TD / 3 INT 352 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 39.1 RUSH YPG
Jaquez Moore	RB	481 YDS / 4 TD / 53.4 YPG / 5.6 YPC
Jordan Moore	WR	36 REC / 483 YDS / 4 TD / 53.7 YPG
Tre Freeman	LB	66 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Jaylen Stinson	S	52 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Dorian Mausi	LB	49 TKL / 2 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Brandon Johnson	DB	34 TKL / 6 TFL / 2 SACK