North Carolina vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

North Carolina vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Updated Oct. 21, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Oddsmakers heavily favor the No. 10 North Carolina Tar Heels (6-0) when they host the Virginia Cavaliers (1-5) on Saturday, October 21, 2023 in a matchup between ACC foes at Kenan Memorial Stadium. North Carolina is favored by 23.5 points. The over/under is 58 for this matchup.

The Tar Heels won against the Miami Hurricanes in their last game, 41-31. The Cavaliers beat the William & Mary Tribe, 27-13, in their most recent game.

North Carolina vs. Virginia Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 6:30 PM ET
  • Location: Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • TV: The CW
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
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North Carolina vs Virginia Betting Information updated as of October 21, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
North Carolina -23.5 (-111) -2675 +1160 58 -110 -110

North Carolina vs. Virginia Prediction

  • Pick ATS: North Carolina (-23.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (58)
  • Prediction: North Carolina 42, Virginia 16

Learn more about the North Carolina Tar Heels vs. the Virginia Cavaliers game on FOX Sports!

North Carolina vs. Virginia Betting Insights

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Tar Heels 41, Cavaliers 17.
  • The Tar Heels have a 96.4% chance to claim victory in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Cavaliers hold a 7.9% implied probability.
  • North Carolina has covered five times in six games with a spread this season.
  • Virginia has covered four times in six chances against the spread this year.

North Carolina vs. Virginia: Head-to-Head

  • Over their last two meetings, North Carolina has tallied two wins versus Virginia.
  • In their most recent two meetings, each team has covered one time with those games going over the total on one occasion.
  • In their last two head-to-head matchups, North Carolina has racked up 90 points against Virginia, while giving up only 67 points.

North Carolina vs. Virginia: 2023 Stats Comparison

North Carolina Virginia
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 37.3 (33) 22.3 (112)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 21 (27) 31.8 (93)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 5 (11) 10 (74)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 11 (33) 7 (96)

North Carolina 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Drake Maye QB 1,902 YDS (68.9%) / 12 TD / 4 INT
184 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 30.7 RUSH YPG
Omarion Hampton RB 658 YDS / 8 TD / 109.7 YPG / 5.9 YPC
10 REC / 98 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 16.3 REC YPG
Kobe Paysour WR 22 REC / 282 YDS / 3 TD / 47 YPG
Nate McCollum WR 31 REC / 374 YDS / 1 TD / 62.3 YPG
Cedric Gray LB 51 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK / 1 INT
Kaimon Rucker LB 25 TKL / 9 TFL / 6.5 SACK
Power Echols LB 42 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Alijah Huzzie DB 22 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD

Virginia 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Malik Washington WR 44 REC / 668 YDS / 5 TD / 111.3 YPG
Malachi Fields WR 31 REC / 418 YDS / 2 TD / 69.7 YPG
Kobe Pace RB 211 YDS / 1 TD / 35.2 YPG / 3.6 YPC
9 REC / 115 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 19.2 REC YPG
Anthony Colandrea QB 923 YDS (61.8%) / 5 TD / 6 INT
Jonas Sanker S 52 TKL / 1 TFL
James Jackson LB 38 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Kameron Butler DE 20 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Coen King S 28 TKL / 0 TFL
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