Notre Dame vs. Penn State Prediction, Odds, Picks - January 9, 2025

Updated Jan. 8, 2025 3:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 5 Penn State Nittany Lions (13-2) are the underdogs, but by less than a field goal (+1.5), in one of this season's College Football Playoff National Championship Semifinals, where they will face the No. 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (13-1) at Hard Rock Stadium on January 9, 2025, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The over/under is set at 45.5 points for the contest.

Last time around, the Fighting Irish defeated the Georgia Bulldogs, with 23-10 being the final score. The Nittany Lions' last contest was versus the Boise State Broncos, and they won by a score of 31-14.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

Can Notre Dame slow down the Penn State run game? | Joel Klatt Show

Joel Klatt previewed the Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Penn State Nittany Lions. He broke down why Penn State has to run the ball and utilize Kaytron Allen and Nick Singleton in this matchup. Joel analyzed how Riley Leonard’s ability to run the ball can help get their run game started.

Notre Dame vs. Penn State Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, January 9, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida
TV: ESPN
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Notre Dame vs Penn State Betting Information updated as of January 8, 2025, 2:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Notre Dame	-1.5 (-109)	-121	+101	45.5	-106	-118

Notre Dame vs. Penn State Prediction

Pick ATS: Notre Dame (-1.5)
Pick OU: Over (45.5)
Prediction: Notre Dame 27, Penn State 23

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. the Penn State Nittany Lions game on FOX Sports!

Notre Dame vs. Penn State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Fighting Irish 24, Nittany Lions 22.
The Fighting Irish have a 54.8% chance to win this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Nittany Lions hold a 49.8% implied probability.
Notre Dame has won 11 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing three times.
Penn State has put together an 8-7-0 ATS record so far this season.

Notre Dame vs. Penn State: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Notre Dame	Penn State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	37.7 (3)	33.7 (8)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	13.6 (3)	15.8 (12)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	13 (26)	14 (31)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	30 (1)	24 (16)

Notre Dame 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Riley Leonard	QB	2,383 YDS (66.5%) / 18 TD / 6 INT 831 RUSH YDS / 15 RUSH TD / 59.4 RUSH YPG
Jeremiyah Love	RB	1,076 YDS / 16 TD / 76.9 YPG / 7.3 YPC 25 REC / 226 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 16.1 REC YPG
Jadarian Price	RB	720 YDS / 7 TD / 51.4 YPG / 6.5 YPC
Beaux Collins	WR	37 REC / 458 YDS / 3 TD / 32.7 YPG
Xavier Watts	DB	54 TKL / 1 TFL / 6 INT / 6 PD
Jack Kiser	LB	61 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Rylie Mills	DL	32 TKL / 6 TFL / 7.5 SACK
Adon Shuler	DB	47 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD

Penn State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Drew Allar	QB	3,192 YDS (67.4%) / 24 TD / 7 INT 285 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 19 RUSH YPG
Nicholas Singleton	RB	1,015 YDS / 9 TD / 67.7 YPG / 6.5 YPC 39 REC / 342 REC YDS / 5 REC TD / 24.4 REC YPG
Tyler Warren	TE	98 REC / 1,158 YDS / 8 TD / 77.2 YPG
Kaytron Allen	RB	1,026 YDS / 8 TD / 68.4 YPG / 5.1 YPC 17 REC / 147 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 12.3 REC YPG
Abdul Carter	DL	50 TKL / 16 TFL / 11 SACK
Jaylen Reed	DB	67 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK / 3 INT
Kobe King	LB	64 TKL / 6 TFL / 3 SACK
Zakee Wheatley	DB	58 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD