Purdue vs. Illinois Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Big Ten rivals meet when the Purdue Boilermakers (1-3) host the Illinois Fighting Illini (2-2) on Saturday, September 30, 2023 at Ross-Ade Stadium. Purdue is favored by 1 point. The over/under is set at 53.5 points for the contest.

The Boilermakers' most recent game was against the Wisconsin Badgers, and they lost by a score of 38-17. In their most recent game, the Fighting Illini won against the Florida Atlantic Owls, 23-17.

Purdue vs. Illinois Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
Location: Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette, Indiana
TV: Peacock
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Purdue vs Illinois Betting Information updated as of September 29, 2023, 8:46 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Purdue	-1 (-105)	-111	-109	53.5	-110	-110

Purdue vs. Illinois Prediction

Pick ATS: Illinois (+1)
Pick OU: Under (53.5)
Prediction: Purdue 27, Illinois 26

Learn more about the Purdue Boilermakers vs. the Illinois Fighting Illini game on FOX Sports!

Purdue vs. Illinois Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Boilermakers 27, Fighting Illini 26.
The Boilermakers have a 52.6% chance to claim victory in this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Fighting Illini hold a 52.2% implied probability.
Purdue has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
Illinois has not won against the spread this season in four games with a spread.

Purdue vs. Illinois: Head-to-Head

Over their last two meetings, Purdue has put up two wins versus Illinois.
The Boilermakers and the Fighting Illini have matched up evenly over their last two contests, sporting an even 1-1 record against the spread. In those two games, the two teams have eclipsed the over on the point total on one occasion.
Illinois has been outpaced by 11 points in its last two tilts against Purdue.

Purdue vs. Illinois: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Purdue	Illinois
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	24.0 (91)	22.3 (99)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	32.3 (106)	27.3 (84)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	7 (88)	10 (121)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	5 (74)	4 (97)

Purdue 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Hudson Card	QB	1,027 YDS (62.8%) / 3 TD / 3 INT 95 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 23.8 RUSH YPG
Tyrone Tracy Jr.	RB	176 YDS / 4 TD / 44.0 YPG / 7.0 YPC
Deion Burks	WR	15 REC / 294 YDS / 3 TD / 73.5 YPG
Devin Mockobee	RB	212 YDS / 2 TD / 53.0 YPG / 4.0 YPC 9 REC / 47 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.8 REC YPG
Dillon Thieneman	DB	35 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Kydran Jenkins	OLB	23 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
O.C. Brothers	LB	15 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Sanoussi Kane	DB	24 TKL / 1.0 TFL

Illinois 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Luke Altmyer	QB	879 YDS (65.3%) / 4 TD / 7 INT 146 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 36.5 RUSH YPG
Isaiah Williams	WR	24 REC / 333 YDS / 0 TD / 83.3 YPG
Reggie Love III	RB	243 YDS / 1 TD / 60.8 YPG / 5.5 YPC
Pat Bryant	WR	13 REC / 120 YDS / 2 TD / 30.0 YPG
Xavier Scott	DB	26 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jer'Zhan Newton	DL	18 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Miles Scott	DB	23 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Keith Randolph Jr.	DL	22 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK