San Diego State vs. Fresno State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 25, 2025

Updated Oct. 25, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

MWC opponents square off when the San Diego State Aztecs (5-1) visit the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-2) on Saturday, October 25, 2025 at Valley Children's Stadium. San Diego State is favored by 3 points. The point total is 46.5.

The Aztecs won versus the Nevada Wolf Pack in their last game, 44-10. Facing the Colorado State Rams in their most recent game, the Bulldogs lost 49-21.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

San Diego State vs. Fresno State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Valley Children's Stadium in Fresno, California
TV: FS1
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

San Diego State vs Fresno State Betting Information updated as of October 25, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
San Diego State	-3 (-113)	-154	+130	46.5	-108	-112

San Diego State vs. Fresno State Prediction

Pick ATS: San Diego State (-3)
Pick OU: Over (46.5)
Prediction: San Diego State 28, Fresno State 19

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the San Diego State Aztecs vs. the Fresno State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

San Diego State vs. Fresno State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Aztecs 25, Bulldogs 22.
The Aztecs have a 60.6% chance to collect the win in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs have a 43.5% implied probability.
San Diego State has won five games against the spread this season, while failing to cover once.
Fresno State is 3-4-0 ATS this season.

San Diego State vs. Fresno State: Head-to-Head

In their last three head-to-head contests, Fresno State has taken down San Diego State two times.
In those contests versus Fresno State, the Aztecs have covered two times while eclipsing the total each time.
Over their last three head-to-head contests, San Diego State has racked up 81 points, while Fresno State has accumulated 80.

San Diego State vs. Fresno State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	San Diego State	Fresno State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	30.7 (84)	29.3 (64)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	12.2 (3)	23.7 (63)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	2 (3)	14 (125)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	6 (99)	11 (30)

San Diego State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Lucky Sutton	RB	526 YDS / 6 TD / 87.7 YPG / 5.1 YPC
Jayden Denegal	QB	1,100 YDS (65.9%) / 7 TD / 2 INT 58 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 9.7 RUSH YPG
Jordan Napier	WR	37 REC / 556 YDS / 2 TD / 92.7 YPG
Christian Washington	RB	198 YDS / 2 TD / 33 YPG / 4.1 YPC 3 REC / 18 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 6 REC YPG
Owen Chambliss	LB	39 TKL / 4 TFL / 2 SACK
Trey White	DL	23 TKL / 4 TFL / 4 SACK
Chris Johnson	DB	27 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Dalesean Staley	DB	23 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Fresno State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Rayshon Luke	RB	379 YDS / 5 TD / 54.1 YPG / 6.5 YPC 19 REC / 128 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 18.3 REC YPG
E.J. Warner	QB	1,486 YDS (68.8%) / 10 TD / 9 INT 91 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 13 RUSH YPG
Bryson Donelson	RB	388 YDS / 3 TD / 55.4 YPG / 4.5 YPC 14 REC / 114 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 16.3 REC YPG
Josiah Freeman	WR	24 REC / 300 YDS / 4 TD / 50 YPG
Jadon Pearson	LB	59 TKL / 2 TFL
K'Vion Thunderbird	LB	32 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Finn Claypool	DL	23 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK
Deijon Laffitte	DL	18 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK