SMU vs. Florida State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28, 2024

Updated Sep. 26, 2024 3:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The SMU Mustangs (3-1) are 6.5-point favorites when they host the Florida State Seminoles (1-3) in an ACC matchup on Saturday, September 28, 2024 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The contest has an over/under of 48.

Against the TCU Horned Frogs in their last game, the Mustangs won 66-42. The Seminoles' last contest was versus the California Golden Bears, and they won by a score of 14-9.

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SMU vs. Florida State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in University Park, Texas
TV: ACC Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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SMU vs Florida State Betting Information updated as of September 26, 2024, 2:47 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
SMU	-6.5 (-109)	-238	+189	48	-111	-111

SMU vs. Florida State Prediction

Pick ATS: Florida State (+6.5)
Pick OU: Over (48)
Prediction: SMU 27, Florida State 23

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the SMU Mustangs vs. the Florida State Seminoles game on FOX Sports!

SMU vs. Florida State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Mustangs 27, Seminoles 21.
The Mustangs have a 70.4% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Seminoles have a 34.6% implied probability.
SMU has won one game against the spread this season.
Florida State has covered once in four chances against the spread this year.

SMU vs. Florida State: 2024 Stats Comparison

	SMU	Florida State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	42.3 (9)	15 (123)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.8 (80)	20.3 (64)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	6 (89)	5 (71)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	11 (3)	2 (116)

SMU 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brashard Smith	RB	377 YDS / 6 TD / 94.3 YPG / 7.3 YPC 8 REC / 71 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.8 REC YPG
Kevin Jennings	QB	479 YDS (61.4%) / 3 TD / 1 INT 137 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 34.3 RUSH YPG
Preston Stone	QB	336 YDS (58.1%) / 3 TD / 1 INT
RJ Maryland	TE	13 REC / 191 YDS / 1 TD / 47.8 YPG
Ahmaad Moses	DB	20 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Ahmad Walker	LB	25 TKL / 2 TFL
Kobe Wilson	LB	24 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Elijah Roberts	DL	7 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK

Florida State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
D.J. Uiagalelei	QB	843 YDS (57.1%) / 2 TD / 3 INT
Lawrance Toafili	RB	147 YDS / 2 TD / 36.8 YPG / 4.9 YPC 9 REC / 53 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.3 REC YPG
Ja'Khi Douglas	WR	13 REC / 224 YDS / 1 TD / 56 YPG
Roydell Williams	RB	54 YDS / 2 TD / 13.5 YPG / 2.7 YPC 5 REC / 46 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.5 REC YPG
Patrick Payton	DL	8 TKL / 5 TFL / 4 SACK
Shyheim Brown	DB	20 TKL / 1 TFL
Joshua Farmer	DL	8 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Cam Riley	LB	18 TKL / 0 TFL