SMU vs. Virginia Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 23, 2024

Updated Nov. 21, 2024 3:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 13 SMU Mustangs (9-1) are 9.5-point favorites when they visit the Virginia Cavaliers (5-5) in conference play on Saturday, November 23, 2024 at Scott Stadium. The total for this game has been set at 57.5 points.

The Mustangs beat the Boston College Eagles, 38-28, in their last game. The Cavaliers lost to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 35-14, in their last contest.

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SMU vs. Virginia Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Virginia
TV: ESPN2
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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SMU vs Virginia Betting Information updated as of November 21, 2024, 2:46 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
SMU	-9.5 (-111)	-322	+255	57.5	-110	-110

SMU vs. Virginia Prediction

Pick ATS: SMU (-9.5)
Pick OU: Under (57.5)
Prediction: SMU 35, Virginia 22

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the SMU Mustangs vs. the Virginia Cavaliers game on FOX Sports!

SMU vs. Virginia Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Mustangs 34, Cavaliers 24.
The Mustangs have a 76.3% chance to collect the win in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Cavaliers hold a 28.2% implied probability.
SMU has compiled a 5-4-0 ATS record so far this year.
Virginia has covered six times in 10 matchups with a spread this season.

SMU vs. Virginia: 2024 Stats Comparison

	SMU	Virginia
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	39.9 (6)	24.8 (95)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.4 (44)	27.5 (84)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	17 (101)	16 (90)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	20 (10)	13 (69)

SMU 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brashard Smith	RB	1,023 YDS / 12 TD / 102.3 YPG / 6.5 YPC 26 REC / 203 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 20.3 REC YPG
Kevin Jennings	QB	2,198 YDS (65.4%) / 15 TD / 6 INT 315 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 31.5 RUSH YPG
Roderick Daniels Jr.	WR	19 REC / 402 YDS / 2 TD / 40.2 YPG
Keyshawn Smith	WR	25 REC / 415 YDS / 4 TD / 41.5 YPG
Kobe Wilson	LB	67 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 2 INT
Isaiah Nwokobia	DB	64 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 3 INT
Ahmad Walker	LB	50 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Jahfari Harvey	DL	18 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 5.0 SACK

Virginia 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Anthony Colandrea	QB	2,017 YDS (61.4%) / 12 TD / 11 INT 282 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 28.2 RUSH YPG
Malachi Fields	WR	49 REC / 746 YDS / 4 TD / 74.6 YPG
Kobe Pace	RB	473 YDS / 3 TD / 47.3 YPG / 4.5 YPC 20 REC / 184 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 18.4 REC YPG
Xavier Brown	RB	488 YDS / 1 TD / 48.8 YPG / 6.2 YPC 8 REC / 123 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 15.4 REC YPG
Jonas Sanker	DB	70 TKL / 8.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 1 INT
Kamren Robinson	LB	54 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK / 1 INT
Antonio Clary	DB	45 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
James Jackson	LB	43 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK