Tennessee vs. Florida Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Florida Gators (1-1) are 5.5-point underdogs in a home SEC matchup with the No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (2-0) on Saturday, September 16, 2023 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. The point total is set at 56.5.

The Volunteers won versus the Austin Peay Governors in their most recent game, 30-13. The Gators beat the McNeese Cowboys, 49-7, in their last game.

Tennessee vs. Florida Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida
TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Tennessee vs Florida Betting Information updated as of September 16, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Tennessee	-5.5 (-110)	-215	+176	56.5	-110	-110

Tennessee vs. Florida Prediction

Pick ATS: Tennessee (-5.5)
Pick OU: Under (56.5)
Prediction: Tennessee 31, Florida 18

Learn more about the Tennessee Volunteers vs. the Florida Gators game on FOX Sports!

Tennessee vs. Florida Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Volunteers 31, Gators 26.
The Volunteers have a 68.3% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Gators have a 36.2% implied probability.
Tennessee has a record of 1-0-0 against the spread this season.
Florida is winless against the spread this year (0-1-0).

Tennessee vs. Florida: Head-to-Head

In their past two matchups, Florida owns a split 1-1 record against Tennessee.
The Gators carry a 2-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion.
In their last two head-to-head matchups, Florida has scored 71 points versus Tennessee, while surrendering only 52 points.

Tennessee vs. Florida: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Tennessee	Florida
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	39.5 (39)	30.0 (74)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	13.0 (19)	15.5 (30)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	2 (34)	2 (34)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	2 (74)	0 (121)

Tennessee 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Joe Milton	QB	429 YDS (66.7%) / 4 TD / 0 INT 40 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 20.0 RUSH YPG
Dylan Sampson	RB	60 YDS / 3 TD / 30.0 YPG / 3.8 YPC 2 REC / 18 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 9.0 REC YPG
Jaylen Wright	RB	233 YDS / 0 TD / 116.5 YPG / 9.3 YPC 5 REC / 26 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.0 REC YPG
Jabari Small	RB	162 YDS / 0 TD / 81.0 YPG / 6.2 YPC 4 REC / 27 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.5 REC YPG
Aaron Beasley	LB	12 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Tyler Baron	DL	6 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
James Pearce Jr.	DL	4 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Wesley Walker	DB	9 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK

Florida 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Graham Mertz	QB	526 YDS (73.8%) / 2 TD / 1 INT -21 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -10.5 RUSH YPG
Montrell Johnson	RB	125 YDS / 2 TD / 62.5 YPG / 6.9 YPC 3 REC / 41 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 20.5 REC YPG
Ricky Pearsall	WR	14 REC / 215 YDS / 1 TD / 107.5 YPG
Treyaun Webb	RB	74 YDS / 2 TD / 37.0 YPG / 4.9 YPC
Shemar James	LB	15 TKL / 2.0 TFL
Scooby Williams	LB	4 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Jordan Castell	S	8 TKL / 0.0 TFL
Princely Umanmielen	DE	2 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK