Tennessee vs. Florida Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Tennessee vs. Florida Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

The Florida Gators (1-1) are 5.5-point underdogs in a home SEC matchup with the No. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (2-0) on Saturday, September 16, 2023 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. The point total is set at 56.5.

The Volunteers won versus the Austin Peay Governors in their most recent game, 30-13. The Gators beat the McNeese Cowboys, 49-7, in their last game.

Tennessee vs. Florida Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
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Tennessee vs Florida Betting Information updated as of September 16, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Tennessee -5.5 (-110) -215 +176 56.5 -110 -110

Tennessee vs. Florida Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Tennessee (-5.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (56.5)
  • Prediction: Tennessee 31, Florida 18

Learn more about the Tennessee Volunteers vs. the Florida Gators game on FOX Sports!

Tennessee vs. Florida Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Volunteers 31, Gators 26.
  • The Volunteers have a 68.3% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Gators have a 36.2% implied probability.
  • Tennessee has a record of 1-0-0 against the spread this season.
  • Florida is winless against the spread this year (0-1-0).

Tennessee vs. Florida: Head-to-Head

  • In their past two matchups, Florida owns a split 1-1 record against Tennessee.
  • The Gators carry a 2-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion.
  • In their last two head-to-head matchups, Florida has scored 71 points versus Tennessee, while surrendering only 52 points.

Tennessee vs. Florida: 2023 Stats Comparison

Tennessee Florida
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 39.5 (39) 30.0 (74)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 13.0 (19) 15.5 (30)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 2 (34) 2 (34)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 2 (74) 0 (121)

Tennessee 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Joe Milton QB 429 YDS (66.7%) / 4 TD / 0 INT
40 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 20.0 RUSH YPG
Dylan Sampson RB 60 YDS / 3 TD / 30.0 YPG / 3.8 YPC
2 REC / 18 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 9.0 REC YPG
Jaylen Wright RB 233 YDS / 0 TD / 116.5 YPG / 9.3 YPC
5 REC / 26 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.0 REC YPG
Jabari Small RB 162 YDS / 0 TD / 81.0 YPG / 6.2 YPC
4 REC / 27 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.5 REC YPG
Aaron Beasley LB 12 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Tyler Baron DL 6 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
James Pearce Jr. DL 4 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Wesley Walker DB 9 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK

Florida 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Graham Mertz QB 526 YDS (73.8%) / 2 TD / 1 INT
-21 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -10.5 RUSH YPG
Montrell Johnson RB 125 YDS / 2 TD / 62.5 YPG / 6.9 YPC
3 REC / 41 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 20.5 REC YPG
Ricky Pearsall WR 14 REC / 215 YDS / 1 TD / 107.5 YPG
Treyaun Webb RB 74 YDS / 2 TD / 37.0 YPG / 4.9 YPC
Shemar James LB 15 TKL / 2.0 TFL
Scooby Williams LB 4 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Jordan Castell S 8 TKL / 0.0 TFL
Princely Umanmielen DE 2 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
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