Tennessee vs. Kentucky Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 28

Updated Oct. 28, 2023 3:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Two of the nation's toughest rushing defenses meet when the No. 21 Tennessee Volunteers (5-2) take college football's 25th-ranked rushing defense into a matchup with the Kentucky Wildcats (5-2), who have the No. 13 rushing defense, on Saturday, October 28, 2023. The Volunteers are 4-point favorites. This game has an over/under of 50.5 points.

The Volunteers' most recent contest was versus the Alabama Crimson Tide, and they lost by a score of 34-20. The Wildcats lost to the Missouri Tigers, 38-21, in their most recent contest.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky
TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Tennessee vs Kentucky Betting Information updated as of October 28, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Tennessee	-4 (-109)	-183	+153	50.5	-111	-110

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Prediction

Pick ATS: Tennessee (-4)
Pick OU: Over (50.5)
Prediction: Tennessee 32, Kentucky 23

Learn more about the Tennessee Volunteers vs. the Kentucky Wildcats game on FOX Sports!

Tennessee vs. Kentucky Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Volunteers 27, Wildcats 23.
The Volunteers have a 64.7% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Wildcats have a 39.5% implied probability.
Tennessee has covered four times in six games with a spread this season.
Kentucky is 4-3-0 ATS this season.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky: Head-to-Head

In their last two head-to-head contests, Tennessee has taken down Kentucky two times.
In those matchups against Kentucky, the Volunteers have covered two times while outscoring the point total on one occasion.
Over their last two head-to-head matchups, Tennessee has put up 89 points, while Kentucky has posted 48.

Tennessee vs. Kentucky: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Tennessee	Kentucky
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	31.6 (57)	31.3 (58)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	19.4 (27)	23.6 (47)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (37)	10 (63)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	10 (62)	11 (51)

Tennessee 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Joe Milton	QB	1,535 YDS (62.8%) / 12 TD / 4 INT 232 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 33.1 RUSH YPG
Dylan Sampson	RB	301 YDS / 6 TD / 43.0 YPG / 6.1 YPC 8 REC / 98 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 14.0 REC YPG
Jaylen Wright	RB	593 YDS / 1 TD / 84.7 YPG / 6.5 YPC 17 REC / 102 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 14.6 REC YPG
Jabari Small	RB	383 YDS / 2 TD / 54.7 YPG / 5.2 YPC
Aaron Beasley	LB	44 TKL / 8.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
James Pearce Jr.	DL	14 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 7.0 SACK
Tyler Baron	DL	16 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 5.0 SACK
Tamarion McDonald	DB	31 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT

Kentucky 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Re'Mahn Davis	RB	781 YDS / 8 TD / 111.6 YPG / 7.0 YPC 15 REC / 193 REC YDS / 5 REC TD / 27.6 REC YPG
Devin Leary	QB	1,377 YDS (53.8%) / 14 TD / 7 INT -42 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -6.0 RUSH YPG
Tayvion Robinson	WR	23 REC / 338 YDS / 3 TD / 48.3 YPG
Barion Brown	WR	23 REC / 276 YDS / 1 TD / 39.4 YPG
Maxwell Hairston	DB	37 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 5 INT / 5 PD
D'Eryk Jackson	LB	41 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
Trevin Wallace	LB	26 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK / 1 INT
Deone Walker	DL	24 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 3.5 SACK