College Football

Texas State vs. Sam Houston Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28, 2024

Updated Sep. 25, 2024 7:28 p.m. ET

The Texas State Bobcats (2-1) and Sam Houston Bearkats (3-1) square off at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas on September 28, 2024, starting at 3:00 p.m. ET, airing on ESPN+. Texas State is favored by 8.5 points in the game. The over/under is set at 56.5.

In their most recent action, the Bobcats lost versus the Arizona State Sun Devils, 31-28. Facing the New Mexico State Aggies in their most recent game, the Bearkats won 31-11.

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Texas State vs. Sam Houston Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 3:00 p.m. ET
Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Texas State vs Sam Houston Betting Information updated as of September 25, 2024, 2:46 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas State	-8.5 (-109)	-312	+246	56.5	-110	-110

Texas State vs. Sam Houston Prediction

Pick ATS: Sam Houston (+8.5)
Pick OU: Under (56.5)
Prediction: Texas State 29, Sam Houston 24

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas State Bobcats vs. the Sam Houston Bearkats game on FOX Sports!

Texas State vs. Sam Houston Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Bobcats 32, Bearkats 24.
The Bobcats have a 75.7% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bearkats have a 28.9% implied probability.
Texas State has won one game against the spread this season.
Sam Houston has won three games against the spread this season, failing to cover once.

Texas State vs. Sam Houston: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Texas State	Sam Houston
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	37 (70)	27.5 (72)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.7 (44)	20.8 (68)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	6 (89)	6 (89)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	3 (96)	7 (23)

Texas State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jordan McCloud	QB	815 YDS (67.3%) / 9 TD / 3 INT 84 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 28 RUSH YPG
Ismail Mahdi	RB	250 YDS / 1 TD / 83.3 YPG / 4.9 YPC 10 REC / 84 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 28 REC YPG
Chris Dawn Jr.	WR	10 REC / 184 YDS / 3 TD / 61.3 YPG
Jaden Williams	WR	12 REC / 159 YDS / 3 TD / 53 YPG
Ben Bell	DL	10 TKL / 4 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Chris Mills	DB	8 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Joshua Eaton	DB	9 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Jordan Polk	DB	13 TKL / 1 TFL

Sam Houston 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Hunter Watson	QB	540 YDS (58.3%) / 5 TD / 5 INT 233 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 58.3 RUSH YPG
Qua'Vez Humphreys	WR	10 REC / 234 YDS / 3 TD / 58.5 YPG
Jevyon Ducker	RB	209 YDS / 1 TD / 52.3 YPG / 4.9 YPC
Ife Adeyi	WR	14 REC / 147 YDS / 1 TD / 36.8 YPG
Caleb Weaver	DB	25 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Trey Fields	LB	21 TKL / 3 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Briceon Hayes	DL	8 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK
Kavian Gaither	LB	17 TKL / 1 TFL