Texas vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Texas vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Updated Sep. 23, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

Oddsmakers massively favor the No. 3 Texas Longhorns (3-0) when they visit the Baylor Bears (1-2) on Saturday, September 23, 2023 in a matchup between Big 12 foes at McLane Stadium. Texas is favored by 17 points. The point total is 48.5.

The Longhorns beat the Wyoming Cowboys, 31-10, in their most recent game. The Bears' most recent game was against the LIU Post Pioneers, and they won by a score of 30-7.

Texas vs. Baylor Game Information & Odds

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Texas vs Baylor Betting Information updated as of September 23, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Texas -17 (-110) -835 +561 48.5 -110 -110

Texas vs. Baylor Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Baylor (+17)
  • Pick OU: Over (48.5)
  • Prediction: Texas 30, Baylor 21

Learn more about the Texas Longhorns vs. the Baylor Bears game on FOX Sports!

Texas vs. Baylor Betting Insights

  • Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Longhorns 33, Bears 16.
  • The Longhorns have an 89.3% chance to win this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bears hold a 15.1% implied probability.
  • Texas has covered once in three games with a spread this season.
  • Baylor is winless against the spread this year (0-1-1).

Texas vs. Baylor: Head-to-Head

  • In their past two matchups, Baylor has a split 1-1 record against Texas.
  • The Longhorns and the Bears have been an even matchup over their last two meetings, holding a split 1-1 record against the spread. In those two head-to-head matchups, the two squads have hit the over on the total on one occasion.
  • Over their last two head-to-head contests, Texas has scored 62 points, while Baylor has accumulated 58.

Texas vs. Baylor: 2023 Stats Comparison

Texas Baylor
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 34.0 (55) 24.7 (93)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 14.7 (24) 23.0 (66)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 1 (3) 5 (77)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 6 (26) 3 (83)

Texas 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Quinn Ewers QB 740 YDS (60.7%) / 8 TD / 0 INT
18 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 6.0 RUSH YPG
Jonathon Brooks RB 273 YDS / 1 TD / 91.0 YPG / 5.8 YPC
3 REC / 46 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 15.3 REC YPG
Xavier Worthy WR 16 REC / 221 YDS / 2 TD / 73.7 YPG
Adonai Mitchell WR 9 REC / 134 YDS / 3 TD / 44.7 YPG
Ethan Burke DE 9 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK
David Gbenda LB 12 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Anthony Hill Jr. LB 7 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Jaylan Ford LB 12 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Baylor 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Drake Dabney TE 8 REC / 139 YDS / 3 TD / 46.3 YPG
Blake Shapen QB 303 YDS (67.7%) / 2 TD / 0 INT
-2 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -0.7 RUSH YPG
Richard Reese RB 117 YDS / 2 TD / 39.0 YPG / 4.5 YPC
Sawyer Robertson QB 444 YDS (45.2%) / 1 TD / 3 INT
47 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 15.7 RUSH YPG
TJ Franklin DL 8 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Matt Jones LB 18 TKL / 0.0 TFL
Byron Vaughns OLB 6 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Mike Smith Jr. LB 13 TKL / 2.0 TFL
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