Texas vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28, 2024

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 3:10 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 1 Texas Longhorns (4-0) are 37.5-point favorites when they host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-3) in an SEC matchup on Saturday, September 28, 2024 at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium. The over/under for the contest is set at 58.5.

The Longhorns won against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks in their most recent game, 51-3. The Bulldogs lost against the Florida Gators in their last game, 45-28.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

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Keyshawn Johnson and RJ Young recently discussed the Texas quarterback situation following Quinn Ewers' injury, speculating on how this could set the stage for a potential Tom Brady-Drew Bledsoe scenario. With Ewers sidelined, backup QB Arch Manning steps into the starting role, and both Keyshawn and RJ emphasized how crucial this opportunity is for the young talent.

Texas vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 4:15 p.m. ET
Location: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas
TV: SEC Network
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

More College Football Predictions

Texas vs Mississippi State Betting Information updated as of September 28, 2024, 2:48 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Texas	-37.5 (-110)	-10000	+1325	58.5	-111	-109

Texas vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Texas (-37.5)
Pick OU: Under (58.5)
Prediction: Texas 50, Mississippi State 7

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Texas Longhorns vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Texas vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Longhorns 48, Bulldogs 10.
The Longhorns have a 99.0% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs have a 7.0% implied probability.
Texas has covered four times in four chances against the spread this season.
Mississippi State has won one game against the spread this season.

Texas vs. Mississippi State: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Texas	Mississippi State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	47.5 (7)	31 (55)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	5.5 (3)	30.8 (110)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	5 (70)	4 (51)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (15)	3 (96)

Texas 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Arch Manning	QB	576 YDS (61.7%) / 7 TD / 2 INT 49 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 12.3 RUSH YPG
Jaydon Blue	RB	203 YDS / 3 TD / 50.8 YPG / 4.5 YPC 10 REC / 77 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 19.3 REC YPG
Quinn Ewers	QB	691 YDS (73.4%) / 8 TD / 2 INT
Isaiah Bond	WR	15 REC / 290 YDS / 3 TD / 72.5 YPG
Anthony Hill Jr.	LB	17 TKL / 3 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Colin Simmons	DL	11 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK
Liona Lefau	LB	9 TKL / 4 TFL / 2 SACK
Jahdae Barron	DB	9 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD

Mississippi State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Blake Shapen	QB	974 YDS (68.5%) / 8 TD / 1 INT 36 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 9 RUSH YPG
Kevin Coleman Jr.	WR	22 REC / 287 YDS / 3 TD / 71.8 YPG
Mario Craver	WR	8 REC / 192 YDS / 2 TD / 48 YPG
Davon Booth	RB	133 YDS / 2 TD / 33.3 YPG / 3.7 YPC 4 REC / 24 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 6 REC YPG
Isaac Smith	DB	25 TKL / 0 TFL
Stone Blanton	LB	16 TKL / 0 TFL
Brylan Lanier	DB	12 TKL / 0 TFL
Kelley Jones	DB	10 TKL / 0 TFL