Troy vs. Texas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 28

Troy vs. Texas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 28

Updated Oct. 28, 2023 3:07 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Troy Trojans (5-2) bring the No.17 scoring defense in college football into a matchup with the Texas State Bobcats (5-2), who have the No. 11 scoring offense, on Saturday, October 28, 2023. The Trojans are 6.5-point favorites. The game has a point total set at 53.

The Trojans won versus the Army Black Knights in their last game, 19-0. The Bobcats beat the UL Monroe Warhawks, 21-20, in their last game.

Troy vs. Texas State Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, Texas
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
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Troy vs Texas State Betting Information updated as of October 28, 2023, 2:46 PM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Troy -6.5 (-114) -251 +204 53 -110 -110

Troy vs. Texas State Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Troy (-6.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (53)
  • Prediction: Troy 30, Texas State 19

Learn more about the Troy Trojans vs. the Texas State Bobcats game on FOX Sports!

Troy vs. Texas State Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Trojans 30, Bobcats 23.
  • The Trojans have a 71.5% chance to win this game per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bobcats have a 32.9% implied probability.
  • Troy has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
  • Texas State has put together a 3-3-0 ATS record so far this season.

Troy vs. Texas State: Head-to-Head

  • Troy owns a 2-0 record against Texas State in their last two matchups.
  • In those games against Troy, the Bobcats have covered two times while outpacing the point total on one occasion.
  • Over their last two head-to-head matchups, Troy has scored 48 points, while Texas State has compiled 42.

Troy vs. Texas State: 2023 Stats Comparison

Troy Texas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 26.6 (91) 38.3 (17)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 17.4 (14) 28.4 (83)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 13 (104) 11 (80)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 11 (51) 11 (51)

Troy 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Kimani Vidal RB 951 YDS / 6 TD / 135.9 YPG / 6.2 YPC
10 REC / 140 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 20.0 REC YPG
Gunnar Watson QB 1,765 YDS (59.4%) / 11 TD / 4 INT
Chris Lewis WR 15 REC / 363 YDS / 4 TD / 51.9 YPG
Jabre Barber WR 29 REC / 455 YDS / 2 TD / 65.0 YPG
Jayden McDonald LB 42 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
Javon Solomon LB 22 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 5.5 SACK
Richard Jibunor LB 21 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK
Reddy Steward CB 20 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Texas State 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
TJ Finley QB 1,842 YDS (68.9%) / 14 TD / 3 INT
43 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 6.1 RUSH YPG
Ismail Mahdi RB 726 YDS / 8 TD / 103.7 YPG / 7.4 YPC
7 REC / 84 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 12.0 REC YPG
Joey Hobert WR 48 REC / 612 YDS / 6 TD / 87.4 YPG
Kole Wilson WR 30 REC / 373 YDS / 4 TD / 53.3 YPG
Brian Holloway LB 54 TKL / 8.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Ben Bell DE 30 TKL / 7.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
Shawn Holton S 42 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Kaleb Culp S 35 TKL / 0.0 TFL
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