Troy vs. UL Monroe Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28, 2024

Updated Sep. 26, 2024 9:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Troy Trojans (1-3) are 6.5-point favorites when they host the UL Monroe Warhawks (2-1) in a Sun Belt matchup on Saturday, September 28, 2024 at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). The game has a 45.5-point over/under.

The Trojans' most recent contest was versus the Florida A&M Rattlers, and they won by a score of 34-12. The Warhawks' last contest was versus the Texas Longhorns, and they lost by a score of 51-3.

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Troy vs. UL Monroe Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 7:00 p.m. ET
Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) in Troy, Alabama
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Troy vs UL Monroe Betting Information updated as of September 26, 2024, 8:47 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Troy	-6.5 (-121)	-265	+212	45.5	-109	-111

Troy vs. UL Monroe Prediction

Pick ATS: Troy (-6.5)
Pick OU: Over (45.5)
Prediction: Troy 30, UL Monroe 21

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Troy Trojans vs. the UL Monroe Warhawks game on FOX Sports!

Troy vs. UL Monroe Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Trojans 26, Warhawks 20.
The Trojans have a 72.6% chance to collect the win in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Warhawks hold a 32.1% implied probability.
Troy has covered twice in four chances against the spread this season.
UL Monroe has won one game against the spread this season.

Troy vs. UL Monroe: Head-to-Head

In their past three head-to-head contests, Troy has beaten UL Monroe two times.
The Trojans own a 2-1 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the total on two occasions.
UL Monroe has been outscored by 36 points in its last three tilts against Troy.

Troy vs. UL Monroe: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Troy	UL Monroe
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	24.5 (86)	21.7 (119)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	29 (104)	23.7 (50)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	2 (10)	2 (10)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	0 (133)	6 (40)

Troy 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Devonte Ross	WR	26 REC / 501 YDS / 6 TD / 125.3 YPG
Will Crowder	QB	533 YDS (69.4%) / 5 TD / 0 INT 63 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 15.8 RUSH YPG
Damien Taylor	RB	265 YDS / 2 TD / 66.3 YPG / 6.6 YPC 1 REC / 7 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 1.8 REC YPG
Matthew Caldwell	QB	269 YDS (62.5%) / 1 TD / 1 INT -18 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -4.5 RUSH YPG
Jordan Stringer	LB	25 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK
Brendan Jackson	LB	28 TKL / 4 TFL
Justin Powe	DB	24 TKL / 0 TFL
Damaje Yancey	DB	18 TKL / 2 TFL

UL Monroe 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Ahmad Hardy	RB	191 YDS / 2 TD / 63.7 YPG / 4.4 YPC
James Jones	RB	110 YDS / 1 TD / 36.7 YPG / 5.5 YPC
Javon Campbell	WR	5 REC / 89 YDS / 1 TD / 29.7 YPG
Taven Curry	RB	118 YDS / 0 TD / 39.3 YPG / 5.1 YPC
Wydett Williams Jr.	DB	26 TKL / 0 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT
Billy Pullen	DL	13 TKL / 2 TFL / 3 SACK
Carl Glass Jr.	LB	17 TKL / 0 TFL
Car'lin Vigers	DB	13 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD