UMass vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 9:15 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The UMass Minutemen (1-4) are only 2-point favorites against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) on Saturday, September 30, 2023. The contest has a 56-point over/under.

The Minutemen lost versus the New Mexico Lobos in their last game, 34-31. The Red Wolves beat the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, 44-37, in their last contest.

UMass vs. Arkansas State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, Massachusetts
TV: ESPN+
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

UMass vs Arkansas State Betting Information updated as of September 29, 2023, 6:46 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
UMass	-2 (-110)	-129	+109	56	-110	-110

UMass vs. Arkansas State Prediction

Pick ATS: UMass (-2)
Pick OU: Over (56)
Prediction: UMass 33, Arkansas State 31

Learn more about the UMass Minutemen vs. the Arkansas State Red Wolves game on FOX Sports!

UMass vs. Arkansas State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Minutemen 29, Red Wolves 27.
The Minutemen have a 56.3% chance to claim victory in this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Red Wolves hold a 47.8% implied probability.
UMass has won two games against the spread this season.
Arkansas State has won one game against the spread this year.

UMass vs. Arkansas State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	UMass	Arkansas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	26.2 (52)	19.5 (117)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	36.6 (131)	38.5 (124)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (105)	6 (69)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	7 (33)	2 (119)

UMass 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kay'Ron Adams	RB	463 YDS / 4 TD / 92.6 YPG / 4.8 YPC 7 REC / 55 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 11.0 REC YPG
Anthony Simpson	WR	19 REC / 393 YDS / 2 TD / 78.6 YPG
Carlos Davis	QB	886 YDS (61.4%) / 6 TD / 3 INT
Taisun Phommachanh	QB	247 YDS (54.5%) / 0 TD / 1 INT 130 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 26.0 RUSH YPG
Billy Wooden	DL	18 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK
Tyler Rudolph	DB	16 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK / 1 INT
Marcus Bradley	DL	13 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.0 SACK
JB Brown	DL	11 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK

Arkansas State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jaylen Raynor	QB	311 YDS (55.6%) / 4 TD / 1 INT 154 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 38.5 RUSH YPG
Ja'Quez Cross	RB	289 YDS / 2 TD / 72.3 YPG / 7.6 YPC
Courtney Jackson	WR	10 REC / 199 YDS / 3 TD / 49.8 YPG
Zak Wallace	RB	133 YDS / 1 TD / 33.3 YPG / 3.0 YPC
Melique Straker	LB	20 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Thurman Geathers	DE	14 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Keyron Crawford	DE	14 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Javante Mackey	LB	19 TKL / 0.0 TFL