Virginia vs. North Carolina Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 26, 2024

Updated Oct. 23, 2024 9:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The North Carolina Tar Heels (3-4) are 4.5-point underdogs in a road conference matchup against the Virginia Cavaliers (4-3) on Saturday, October 26, 2024 at Scott Stadium. The over/under is set at 59 for the outing.

In their last game, the Cavaliers lost against the Clemson Tigers, 48-31. In their last contest, the Tar Heels lost versus the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, 41-34.

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Virginia vs. North Carolina Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Virginia
TV: The CW
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Virginia vs North Carolina Betting Information updated as of October 23, 2024, 8:46 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Virginia	-4.5 (-107)	-181	+149	59	-111	-109

Virginia vs. North Carolina Prediction

Pick ATS: Virginia (-4.5)
Pick OU: Over (59)
Prediction: Virginia 34, North Carolina 26

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Virginia Cavaliers vs. the North Carolina Tar Heels game on FOX Sports!

Virginia vs. North Carolina Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Cavaliers 32, Tar Heels 27.
The Cavaliers have a 64.4% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Tar Heels have a 40.2% implied probability.
Virginia has put together a 5-1-1 ATS record so far this year.
North Carolina has covered just once in seven chances against the spread this season.

Virginia vs. North Carolina: Head-to-Head

North Carolina holds a 2-1 record against Virginia in their last three matchups.
The Cavaliers have a 2-1 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion.
Virginia has been outpaced by 19 points in its last three tilts against North Carolina.

Virginia vs. North Carolina: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Virginia	North Carolina
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	28 (74)	32.9 (36)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	25.7 (77)	30.4 (107)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	8 (51)	10 (69)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	9 (62)	6 (106)

Virginia 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Anthony Colandrea	QB	1,649 YDS (63.6%) / 11 TD / 4 INT 235 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 33.6 RUSH YPG
Malachi Fields	WR	40 REC / 606 YDS / 4 TD / 86.6 YPG
Kobe Pace	RB	366 YDS / 2 TD / 52.3 YPG / 4.5 YPC 14 REC / 148 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 21.1 REC YPG
Xavier Brown	RB	366 YDS / 0 TD / 52.3 YPG / 7.2 YPC 4 REC / 69 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.5 REC YPG
Kamren Robinson	LB	31 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK / 1 INT
Jonas Sanker	DB	27 TKL / 4 TFL / 1 SACK
Antonio Clary	DB	30 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
James Jackson	LB	23 TKL / 3 TFL / 2 SACK

North Carolina 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Omarion Hampton	RB	901 YDS / 7 TD / 128.7 YPG / 5.8 YPC 20 REC / 135 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 19.3 REC YPG
Jacolby Criswell	QB	1,367 YDS (56.1%) / 8 TD / 3 INT 127 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 18.1 RUSH YPG
J.J. Jones	WR	21 REC / 364 YDS / 2 TD / 52 YPG
Bryson Nesbit	TE	24 REC / 264 YDS / 3 TD / 37.7 YPG
Amare Campbell	LB	31 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Jahvaree Ritzie	DL	11 TKL / 5 TFL / 5 SACK
Antavious Lane	DB	29 TKL / 1 TFL
Kaleb Cost	DB	21 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 2 INT