Astros vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Updated Jul. 4, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

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Yordan Alvarez and the Houston Astros will meet Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday at Rogers Centre, at 1:07 PM ET. The Astros are listed as -111 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Blue Jays (-109). Houston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The contest's over/under is set at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday, July 3.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:07 PM ET
• Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
• How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Astros vs. Blue Jays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 6, Blue Jays 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 50%, Blue Jays 50%

Astros vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

• This season, the Astros have won 33 out of the 64 games, or 51.6%, in which they've been favored.
• Houston is 32-31 this season when entering a game favored by -111 or more on the moneyline.
• The Astros have a 52.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have won in nine, or 26.5%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Toronto has come away with a win nine times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least -109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 52.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

HOU 5 · TOR 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Houston Astros

HOU

-1.5

-110

O 8.5

Toronto Blue Jays

TOR

+1.5

-110

U 8.5

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros played five of their last 10 games as a moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Astros' ATS record is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• The Astros' best power option comes in the form of Alvarez and his 19-home-run 49-RBI season, both team highs.
• In all of MLB, Alvarez ranks 11th in home runs and 29th in RBI.
• Alvarez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .444 with two doubles, three home runs, five walks and eight RBI.
• Jose Altuve's .306 batting average leads his team.
• Altuve ranks 39th in homers and 72nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Altuve has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .348 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .245 with 17 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 28 walks.
• Jeremy Pena has 16 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks while batting .277.
• Pena has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.

Astros Team Props

Learn more about this Astros vs. Blue Jays matchup on Fox Sports.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Blue Jays have a record of 3-4.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents have combined to hit the over nine times.
• The Blue Jays have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Guerrero leads the squad with a batting average of .297, and paces the Blue Jays in home runs, with 13 and runs batted in with 50.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Guerrero is 39th in home runs and 26th in RBI.
• Guerrero carries a nine-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .405 with six doubles, five home runs, a walk and 19 RBI.
• George Springer has 11 doubles, nine home runs and 36 walks while batting .213.
• Springer is 102nd in homers and 152nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Daulton Varsho has 15 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 29 walks while batting .199.
• Davis Schneider has 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 30 walks while batting .211.

Blue Jays Team Props

Astros vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday, July 3.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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