Astros vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET

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The Houston Astros and Chas McCormick will square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks and Ketel Marte on Saturday at 8:10 PM ET, in the second game of a three-game series at Chase Field. The Astros are the favorite in this one, at -130, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +110 odds to play spoiler. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for the contest.

The Houston Astros will hand the ball to Justin Verlander (12-8, 3.32 ERA), who is looking for win No. 13 on the season, and the Diamondbacks will counter with Merrill Kelly (12-7, 3.48 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to Watch on TV: ARID

Astros vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 51%, Diamondbacks 49%

Astros vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• The Astros have been favorites in 116 games this season and won 59 (50.9%) of those contests.
• Houston has a record of 47-43 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The Astros have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have won in 41, or 48.2%, of the 85 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Arizona has won 23 of 55 games when listed as at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have a 1-5 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
• The Astros are 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Kyle Tucker is the Astros best hitter, putting together an average of .282 while also being the team's top run producer, delivering 111 RBI and connecting on 29 home runs.
• In all of MLB, Tucker is 29th in homers and third in RBI.
• Tucker takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .261 with 27 doubles, three triples, 24 home runs and 92 walks.
• Bregman is 51st in home runs and 22nd in RBI in the bigs.
• Bregman has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .182 with two walks.
• Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 31 home runs.
• Alvarez is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, three home runs, two walks and three RBI.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .315 with 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
• Altuve is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .391 with a double and three RBI.

Astros Team Props

Learn more about this Astros vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and won both contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Diamondbacks have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .289.
• Carroll is 44th in homers and 70th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Carroll takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two doubles, a triple, two walks and three RBI.
• Christian Walker been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 33 home runs and 103 runs batted in.
• Walker is 16th in homers and 11th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Marte is hitting .278 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 34 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while batting .262.

Diamondbacks Team Props

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