Astros vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 1

Updated Aug. 1, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Framber Valdez is starting for the Houston Astros on Tuesday against Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians. First pitch is at 8:10 PM ET at Minute Maid Park. The favored Astros have -189 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +159. Houston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for the contest (with -102 odds on the over and -118 odds to go under).

The starting pitchers are Valdez (8-7) for the Houston Astros, and Gavin Williams (1-2) for the Cleveland Guardians.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, August 1, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet SW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-189	+159	8	-102	-118	-1.5	+109	-130

Astros vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 55%, Guardians 45%

Astros vs. Guardians Betting Insights

This season, the Astros have won 41 out of the 74 games, or 55.4%, in which they've been favored.
This season Houston has won 16 of its 23 games, or 69.6%, when favored by at least -189 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.4% chance of a victory for the Astros.
The Guardians have been victorious in 20, or 42.6%, of the 47 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Cleveland has been listed as an underdog of +159 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 38.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and went 5-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Astros' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.8
HR	19
ERA	4.75
K/9	7.7

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Astros Player Insights

Kyle Tucker is the Astros best hitter, putting together an average of .301 while also being the team's top run producer, accumulating 72 RBI and hitting 18 long balls.
Among all hitters in MLB, Tucker is 32nd in homers and 11th in RBI.
Tucker carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a double, two walks and three RBI.
Alex Bregman is hitting .252 with 14 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 58 walks.
Bregman ranks 32nd in home runs and 15th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Yordan Alvarez has a team-best 19 home runs.
Alvarez is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
Mauricio Dubon is batting .263 with 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 11 walks.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jose Altuve	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+200)
Yainer Diaz	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+155)
Jeremy Pena	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+200)
José Abreu	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+150)
Kyle Tucker	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Guardians have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	11
ERA	3.58
K/9	7.2

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez has launched a team-high 18 home runs.
Ramirez is 32nd in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Ramirez has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
Kwan has 26 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 47 walks while batting .278.
Among all MLB hitters, Kwan is 253rd in homers and 135th in RBI.
Josh Naylor leads the Guardians with 79 runs batted in while accruing a team-best batting average of .308.
Andres Gimenez is batting .231 with 16 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 23 walks.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Tyler Freeman	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+250)
Josh Bell	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+155)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+140)	-	0.5 (+250)
Oscar Gonzalez	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+145)
José Ramírez	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+135)

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