Astros vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 31

Updated Jul. 31, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Kyle Tucker and the Houston Astros will play Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians on Monday at Minute Maid Park, at 8:10 PM ET. The Guardians are +145 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Astros (-172). Houston is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 9.5 runs for the matchup (with -103 odds to go over and -116 odds on the under).

The Houston Astros will give the start to J.P. France (6-3, 2.87 ERA), who is looking for win No. 7 on the season, and the Guardians will counter with Noah Syndergaard (1-4, 7.16 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 31, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet SW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-172	+145	9.5	-103	-116	-1.5	+111	-133

Astros vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 55%, Guardians 45%

Astros vs. Guardians Betting Insights

This season, the Astros have won 40 out of the 73 games, or 54.8%, in which they've been favored.
Houston has a record of 20-9, a 69% win rate, when favored by -172 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.2% chance of a victory for the Astros.
The Guardians have won in 20, or 43.5%, of the 46 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Cleveland has won all of its four games in which it was named as at least a +145 moneyline underdog.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 40.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and finished 5-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Astros have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	19
ERA	4.55
K/9	7.6

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Astros Player Insights

Tucker leads the Astros in home runs (18), runs batted in (70) and has racked up a team-high batting average of .299.
Among all hitters in baseball, Tucker ranks 31st in home runs and 11th in RBI.
Alex Bregman's 18 home runs lead his team.
Bregman is 31st in homers and 15th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Bregman carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
Yordan Alvarez has hit a team-high 18 home runs.
Alvarez is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .375 with a double, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
Mauricio Dubon is batting .263 with 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 11 walks.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Chas McCormick	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Yainer Diaz	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+140)
Kyle Tucker	-	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+120)
Alex Bregman	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+125)
Mauricio Dubon	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 2-1.
The Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Guardians are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	11
ERA	3.34
K/9	7.8

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez has swatted a team-leading 18 long balls.
In all of the majors, Ramirez ranks 31st in home runs and 27th in RBI.
Ramirez takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with a double, four home runs, two walks and six RBI.
Kwan is hitting .278 with 26 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 46 walks.
Kwan is 256th overall in homers and 139th in RBI this season.
Josh Naylor has the top batting average on the Guardians (.311) while pacing in runs batted in (79).
Andres Gimenez is batting .234 with 16 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 23 walks.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Oscar Gonzalez	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+185)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+215)
Josh Naylor	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+140)
José Ramírez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+145)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+125)	-	0.5 (+245)

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