Astros vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 1

Astros vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 1

Updated May. 1, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Jose Ramirez and the Cleveland Guardians take the field on Wednesday at Minute Maid Park against Justin Verlander, who will start for the Houston Astros. First pitch will be at 8:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Astros as -185 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Guardians +154 moneyline odds to win. Houston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +111 odds). The over/under for the game is listed at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cleveland Guardians and the Houston Astros.
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Astros vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, May 1, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
  • How to Watch on TV: SCHN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -185 +154 8.5 -115 -104 -1.5 +111 -132

Astros vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Astros 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 55%, Guardians 45%

Astros vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won eight out of the 24 games, or 33.3%, in which they've been favored.
  • Houston has played as favorites of -185 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 64.9% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • The Guardians have won in eight, or 61.5%, of the 13 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Cleveland has played as an underdog of +154 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 39.4% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL (10)
CLE 3 · HOU 2
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Houston Astros
HOU

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the run total one time.
  • The Astros' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 13
ERA 4.30
K/9 11.5

Astros Player Insights

  • Kyle Tucker paces the Astros in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (20).
  • Tucker's home runs place him 10th in MLB, and he ranks 20th in RBI.
  • Tucker has collected a hit in six straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .378 with three doubles, two home runs, eight walks and six RBI.
  • Jose Altuve has hit seven home runs while batting .345. Both pace his team.
  • Altuve ranks 10th in home runs and 182nd in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Altuve carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, two home runs, three walks and two RBI.
  • Yordan Alvarez has put up a team-high seven home runs.
  • Jeremy Pena is hitting .327 with five doubles, three home runs and five walks.
  • Pena takes a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+235) 0.5 (+115)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+180)
Jeremy Pena 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+155)
Yainer Diaz 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+130)
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • The Guardians have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 11
ERA 3.94
K/9 10.5

Guardians Player Insights

  • Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a team-high batting average of .350.
  • In all of MLB, Kwan ranks 93rd in home runs and 182nd in RBI.
  • Kwan carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .342 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, five walks and four RBI.
  • Josh Naylor been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with seven home runs and 24 RBI.
  • Naylor ranks 10th in home runs and seventh in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Ramirez has a team-high 24 runs batted in.
  • Andres Gimenez is hitting .271 with five doubles, a triple, a home run and five walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Will Brennan 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+215)
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+135)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+230)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+215)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+145)

Guardians vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cleveland Guardians and the Houston Astros.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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