Astros vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 2

Updated May. 2, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

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Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians will take the field on Thursday at Minute Maid Park against Spencer Arrighetti, who is projected to start for the Houston Astros. First pitch will be at 8:10 PM ET for the final game of a three-game series. The favored Astros have -134 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at +114. Houston (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 9 runs for this game (with -117 odds to go over and -102 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Cleveland Guardians' 3-2 win over the Houston Astros.

Astros vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 2, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
• Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
• How to Watch on TV: SCHN

Astros vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 6, Astros 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 53%, Guardians 47%

Astros vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• This season, the Astros have won eight out of the 25 games, or 32%, in which they've been favored.
• Houston has a record of 7-7, a 50% win rate, when favored by -134 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 57.3%.
• The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (64.3%) in those games.
• This year, Cleveland has won six of nine games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 46.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

CLE 2 · HOU 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

+1.5

+118

O 9

Houston Astros

HOU

-1.5

-141

U 9

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros were favored on the moneyline in each of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-6 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over one time.
• The Astros have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• The Astros' best power option comes in the form of Kyle Tucker and his eight-home-run 21-RBI season, both team highs.
• Tucker's home runs place him fifth in the majors, and he ranks 18th in RBI.
• Tucker has collected a hit in seven straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .378 with two doubles, three home runs, seven walks and six RBI.
• Jose Altuve's .341 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Altuve ranks 11th in homers and 158th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Altuve carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Yordan Alvarez is batting .254 with three doubles, seven home runs and 11 walks.
• Jeremy Pena is hitting .325 with five doubles, three home runs and five walks.
• Pena brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.

Astros Team Props

Learn more about this Astros vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• The Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Guardians have eight wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a team-high batting average of .360.
• Kwan's home run total places him 97th in MLB, and he is 132nd in RBI.
• Kwan has collected a hit in seven games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .385 with three doubles, two triples, a home run, five walks and four RBI.
• Naylor has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with seven home runs and 24 runs batted in.
• Naylor is 11th in homers and eighth in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Jose Ramirez has racked up a team-high 24 runs batted in.
• Andres Gimenez is hitting .282 with five doubles, a triple, a home run and seven walks.

Guardians Team Props

Guardians vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Cleveland Guardians' 3-2 win over the Houston Astros.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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