Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Julio Rodriguez and the Seattle Mariners hit the field on Wednesday at T-Mobile Park against Framber Valdez, who will start for the Houston Astros. First pitch is at 9:40 PM ET. The Astros are listed as -116 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Mariners (-103). Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +145 odds). The total is 8 runs for the game.

The scheduled starters are Valdez (12-11) for the Houston Astros, and Bryce Miller (8-6) for the Seattle Mariners.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Mariners game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, September 27, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
  • Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
  • How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -116 -103 8 -107 -113 -1.5 +145 -173

Astros vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 53%, Mariners 47%

Astros vs. Mariners Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 58 out of the 115 games, or 50.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • Houston is 55-49 this season when entering a game favored by -116 or more on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 49 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (44.9%) in those games.
  • This season, Seattle has been victorious 20 times in 38 chances when named as an underdog of at least -103 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 50.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros played as the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and went 1-6 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Astros are 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 15
ERA 4.60
K/9 9.6

Astros Player Insights

  • Kyle Tucker has accumulated a team-best batting average of .283 and paces the Astros in runs batted in (110).
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Tucker's home run total ranks him 26th, and his RBI tally ranks him third.
  • Tucker takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
  • Alex Bregman is hitting .259 with 27 doubles, three triples, 24 home runs and 90 walks.
  • Bregman ranks 51st in homers and 19th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
  • Yordan Alvarez paces the Astros with 30 home runs.
  • Jose Altuve has 20 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .315.
  • Altuve is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .364 with two walks and three RBI.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+220)
Kyle Tucker 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+145)
Michael Brantley 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+190)
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+210)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mariners have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Mariners and their opponents are 4-4-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Mariners have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 9
ERA 4.15
K/9 7.5

Mariners Player Insights

  • Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 31 home runs and 102 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .282.
  • Rodriguez's home run total puts him 20th in the big leagues, and he is 12th in RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford has 34 doubles, 17 home runs and 90 walks while hitting .263.
  • Crawford ranks 119th in homers and 128th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Cal Raleigh has 23 doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 54 walks while hitting .235.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has 29 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .263.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Teoscar Hernández 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+290) 0.5 (+125)
Julio Rodríguez 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+160)
Sam Haggerty 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+275)
Ty France 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+195)
J.P. Crawford 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+285)
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