Astros vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 14

Updated Aug. 14, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Miami Marlins will look to Josh Bell for continued offensive production when they hit the field against Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros on Monday, in the first game of a three-game series at LoanDepot park. The Astros are favored in this one, at -133, while the underdog Marlins have +113 odds to upset. Houston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. An 8-run total is set for the game.

The scheduled starters are Framber Valdez (9-7) for the Houston Astros, and Braxton Garrett (6-3) for the Miami Marlins.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, August 14, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-133	+113	8	-105	-115	-1.5	+131	-156

Astros vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 50%, Marlins 50%

Astros vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Astros have been favorites in 84 games this season and won 47 (56%) of those contests.
Houston has entered 62 games this season favored by -133 or more and is 40-22 in those contests.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 57.1% chance to win.
The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 59 games this year and have walked away with the win 26 times (44.1%) in those games.
This season, Miami has come away with a win 14 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 46.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and finished 4-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Astros have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6.2
HR	15
ERA	3.83
K/9	8

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Astros Player Insights

Kyle Tucker has a team-high batting average of .297, while pacing the Astros in home runs (22) and runs batted in (88).
Among all hitters in MLB, Tucker's home run total ranks him 24th, and his RBI tally ranks him fourth.
Tucker carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with a double, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
Bregman is hitting .254 with 16 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 67 walks.
Bregman ranks 52nd in home runs in MLB, and 15th in RBI.
Bregman carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .444 with two doubles, five walks and five RBI.
Yordan Alvarez has 13 doubles, 21 home runs and 39 walks while batting .270.
Jeremy Pena is hitting .252 with 20 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 30 walks.
Pena is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .421 with a double, three walks and three RBI.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Yainer Diaz	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+155)
Jose Altuve	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+200)
Jeremy Pena	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+205)
Alex Bregman	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+165)
Kyle Tucker	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 2-4 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
The Marlins have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	12
ERA	5.34
K/9	11.2

Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez paces the Marlins with a .367 batting average.
Among all hitters in the majors, Arraez ranks 294th in homers and 69th in RBI.
Jorge Soler been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 28 home runs and 62 runs batted in.
Soler is eighth in home runs and 49th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .262 with 26 doubles, 16 home runs and 33 walks.
Bell has 21 doubles, 15 home runs and 49 walks while hitting .242.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Josh Bell	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+200)
Jorge Soler	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+175)
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+140)	-	0.5 (+230)
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+215)
Jon Berti	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+290)

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