Astros vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 15

Updated Aug. 15, 2023 6:09 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins will look to knock off Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET at LoanDepot park. The favored Astros have -125 moneyline odds against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +106. Houston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 9 runs for this game.

The starting pitchers are Cristian Javier (8-2) for the Houston Astros, and Johnny Cueto (0-3) for the Miami Marlins.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, August 15, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-125	+106	9	-105	-115	-1.5	+133	-157

Astros vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Astros 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 50%, Marlins 50%

Astros vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Astros have entered the game as favorites 85 times this season and won 47, or 55.3%, of those games.
Houston has a record of 42-27, a 60.9% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The Astros have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Marlins have won in 27, or 45%, of the 60 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Miami has a win-loss record of 16-23 when favored by +106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros went 4-4 across the eight games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
The Astros have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6
HR	14
ERA	3.83
K/9	7.7

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Astros Player Insights

Kyle Tucker is the bat to watch in the Astros lineup, leading the team in batting average (.294), home runs (22), and RBI (88).
Tucker ranks 24th in homers and fourth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Alex Bregman has 16 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 68 walks while hitting .252.
Bregman is 55th in home runs in baseball, and 17th in RBI.
Yordan Alvarez has 13 doubles, 21 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .271.
Jeremy Pena has 20 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 30 walks while batting .254.
Pena is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with a double, three walks and two RBI.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Yainer Diaz	-	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+140)
Alex Bregman	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+175)
Kyle Tucker	-	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+140)
Jose Altuve	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+205)
Jeremy Pena	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+210)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 3-3 in those contests.
The Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4
HR	14
ERA	5.02
K/9	10.4

Marlins Player Insights

Arraez leads the Marlins with a .366 batting average.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Arraez ranks 270th in home runs and 65th in RBI.
Arraez has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .286 with a triple, two home runs and six RBI.
Jorge Soler been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 29 home runs and 63 RBI.
Soler ranks eighth in homers and 44th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .260 with 26 doubles, 16 home runs and 33 walks.
Josh Bell is hitting .244 with 21 doubles, 16 home runs and 49 walks.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Josh Bell	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+180)
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+215)
Jorge Soler	0.5 (-175)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+165)
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+165)
Joey Wendle	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	-	0.5 (+250)

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