Astros vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 16

Updated Aug. 16, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros will meet Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins on Wednesday at LoanDepot park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Marlins have been listed as -106 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Astros (-114). Houston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +149 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for this game (with -108 odds to hit the over and -112 odds on the under).

The Houston Astros will give the start to Justin Verlander (7-6, 3.19 ERA), who is looking for win No. 8 on the season, and the Marlins will turn to Jesus Luzardo (8-7, 3.91 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, August 16, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-114	-106	8	-108	-112	-1.5	+149	-179

Astros vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Astros 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 50%, Marlins 50%

Astros vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Astros have been favored 86 times and won 48, or 55.8%, of those games.
Houston is 47-32 this season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 53.3% chance of a victory for the Astros.
The Marlins have come away with 27 wins in the 61 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Miami has come away with a win 25 times in 58 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 51.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Astros' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.9
HR	15
ERA	3.93
K/9	7.6

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Astros Player Insights

Kyle Tucker is the bat to watch in the Astros lineup, leading the team in batting average (.296), home runs (23), and RBI (89).
Including all MLB hitters, Tucker ranks 12th in batting average, 12th in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging.
Bregman is hitting .249 with 16 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 68 walks.
Bregman ranks 56th in home runs and 16th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Yordan Alvarez is hitting .272 with 14 doubles, 21 home runs and 42 walks.
Alvarez will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .176 with a double, four walks and two RBI.
Jeremy Pena is hitting .252 with 20 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 30 walks.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Yainer Diaz	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Jose Altuve	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+200)
Kyle Tucker	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+165)
Alex Bregman	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+215)
Mauricio Dubon	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+160)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	14
ERA	4.86
K/9	9.8

Marlins Player Insights

Arraez leads the Marlins with a .363 batting average.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Arraez ranks 270th in homers and 67th in RBI.
Jorge Soler has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 30 home runs and 65 RBI.
Among all MLB hitters, Soler is sixth in home runs and 41st in RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz has 26 doubles, 16 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .260.
Josh Bell has 21 doubles, 16 home runs and 49 walks while batting .242.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jorge Soler	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+150)
Josh Bell	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+175)
Jazz Chisholm	0.5 (-185)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+165)
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+205)
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+175)

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