Astros vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

Updated Jul. 11, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

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Yordan Alvarez and the Houston Astros play Dane Myers and the Miami Marlins at Minute Maid Park on Thursday at 8:10 PM ET, in the final game of a three-game series. The Marlins are +154 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Astros (-183). Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the game is listed at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the Houston Astros on Wednesday, July 10.

Astros vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
• Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Astros vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 9, Marlins 7
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 55%, Marlins 45%

Astros vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Astros have been favorites in 67 games this season and won 36 (53.7%) of those contests.
• Houston has entered 13 games this season favored by -183 or more and is 10-3 in those contests.
• The Astros have a 64.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Marlins have won in 28, or 36.8%, of the 76 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win six times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +154 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 39.4% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

MIA 3 · HOU 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+155

O 8.5

Houston Astros

HOU

-1.5

-186

U 8.5

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros won all of the five games they played as a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Astros' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Alvarez paces the Astros in home runs (19) and runs batted in (51).
• Among all batters in baseball, Alvarez's home run total ranks him 12th, and his RBI tally puts him 34th.
• Jose Altuve is batting .309 to pace his team.
• Altuve is 56th in homers and 78th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Altuve carries an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .357 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and six RBI.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .256 with 18 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 30 walks.
• Bregman has at least one base hit in six straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .317 with three doubles, two home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
• Jeremy Pena is hitting .277 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 17 walks.
• Pena brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with three RBI.

Astros Team Props

Learn more about this Astros vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins with a .256 batting average.
• Chisholm is 83rd in home runs and 78th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Bryan De La Cruz has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 15 home runs and 43 runs batted in.
• De La Cruz is 34th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 66th in RBI.
• Josh Bell is hitting .227 with 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 26 walks.
• Jesus Sanchez is batting .240 with 11 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 16 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the Houston Astros on Wednesday, July 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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