Astros vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

Updated Jul. 9, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jeremy Pena and the Houston Astros will square off against Jazz Chisholm and the Miami Marlins at Minute Maid Park on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series. The Astros are the favorite in this one, at -243, while the underdog Marlins have +198 odds to win. Houston is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the game.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Astros vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-243	+198	8.5	-102	-120	-1.5	-119	+100

Astros vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 4, Marlins 3
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 61%, Marlins 39%

Astros vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Astros have been favorites in 65 games this season and won 34 (52.3%) of those contests.
Houston has entered three games this season favored by -243 or more, and won each of those games.
The Astros have a 70.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Marlins have won in 28, or 37.8%, of the 74 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Miami has come away with a win two times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +198 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 33.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros won each of the three games they played while the moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
The Astros' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	6.2
HR	10
ERA	4.81
K/9	8.3

Astros Player Insights

Yordan Alvarez has a team-best 19 home runs and 50 runs batted in.
Of all hitters in MLB, Alvarez's home run total ranks him 12th, and his RBI tally ranks him 33rd.
Jose Altuve has a club-leading .309 batting average.
Altuve ranks 50th in home runs and 71st in RBI among all batters in baseball.
Altuve has six straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .386 with a double, a home run, three walks and eight RBI.
Alex Bregman is batting .251 with 18 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 30 walks.
Bregman is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
Pena is batting .278 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 17 walks.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jeremy Pena	1.5 ()	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+170)
Yainer Diaz	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+145)
Mauricio Dubon	0.5 (-265)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+180)
Jacob Berkshire Meyers	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Yordan Alvarez	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
The Marlins have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	8
ERA	4.05
K/9	10.1

Marlins Player Insights

Chisholm paces the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .255.
Among all hitters in MLB, Chisholm ranks 93rd in home runs and 79th in RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz has hit 15 home runs with 42 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
De La Cruz ranks 29th in homers and 67th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
Josh Bell has 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 26 walks while hitting .229.
Jesus Sanchez is hitting .239 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 16 walks.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jazz Chisholm	0.5 (-185)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+220)
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+180)
Josh Bell	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+195)
Jesús Sánchez	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+175)
Nick Fortes	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+290)