Astros vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 9

Updated Jul. 9, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

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Jeremy Pena and the Houston Astros will square off against Jazz Chisholm and the Miami Marlins at Minute Maid Park on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series. The Astros are the favorite in this one, at -243, while the underdog Marlins have +198 odds to win. Houston is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the game.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Astros vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
• Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Astros vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 4, Marlins 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 61%, Marlins 39%

Astros vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Astros have been favorites in 65 games this season and won 34 (52.3%) of those contests.
• Houston has entered three games this season favored by -243 or more, and won each of those games.
• The Astros have a 70.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Marlins have won in 28, or 37.8%, of the 74 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win two times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +198 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 33.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

MIA 3 · HOU 4

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+199

O 8.5

Houston Astros

HOU

-1.5

-250

U 8.5

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros won each of the three games they played while the moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Astros' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Yordan Alvarez has a team-best 19 home runs and 50 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Alvarez's home run total ranks him 12th, and his RBI tally ranks him 33rd.
• Jose Altuve has a club-leading .309 batting average.
• Altuve ranks 50th in home runs and 71st in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Altuve has six straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 outings he is batting .386 with a double, a home run, three walks and eight RBI.
• Alex Bregman is batting .251 with 18 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 30 walks.
• Bregman is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
• Pena is batting .278 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 17 walks.

Astros Team Props

Learn more about this Astros vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Marlins have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Chisholm paces the Marlins with a team-leading batting average of .255.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Chisholm ranks 93rd in home runs and 79th in RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit 15 home runs with 42 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• De La Cruz ranks 29th in homers and 67th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Josh Bell has 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 26 walks while hitting .229.
• Jesus Sanchez is hitting .239 with 11 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 16 walks.

Marlins Team Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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