Astros vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 10

Updated Aug. 10, 2023 12:10 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Houston Astros and Kyle Tucker will take on the Baltimore Orioles and Anthony Santander on Thursday at 12:35 PM ET, in the final of a three-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The favored Astros have -119 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Orioles, who are listed at -100. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the game has been set at 9.5 runs.

The starting pitchers are Hunter Brown (8-7) for the Houston Astros, and Dean Kremer (10-4) for the Baltimore Orioles.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 12:35 PM ET
Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-119	-100	9.5	-104	-116	-1.5	+133	-158

Astros vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Astros 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 53%, Orioles 47%

Astros vs. Orioles Betting Insights

The Astros have entered the game as favorites 80 times this season and won 45, or 56.2%, of those games.
Houston has a record of 43-28, a 60.6% win rate, when favored by -119 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 54.3% chance of a victory for the Astros.
The Orioles have come away with 32 wins in the 59 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Baltimore has a mark of 29-19 in contests where bookmakers favor it by -100 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
The Astros have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	13
ERA	3.48
K/9	7.7

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Astros Player Insights

Tucker is the bat to watch in the Astros lineup, leading the team in batting average (.296), home runs (21), and RBI (84).
Among all MLB hitters, Tucker is 12th in batting average, 15th in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging.
Tucker has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a double, two home runs, five walks and nine RBI.
Alex Bregman has 15 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 63 walks while batting .251.
Bregman is 43rd in homers and 16th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Bregman heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double, three walks and three RBI.
Yordan Alvarez has launched a team-high 21 homers.
Jeremy Pena is batting .249 with 19 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 28 walks.
Pena has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with four walks and two RBI.

Learn more about this Astros vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 3-2.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Orioles have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6
HR	10
ERA	3.24
K/9	10.6

Orioles Player Insights

Adley Rutschman has 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 66 walks while batting .274.
In all of the big leagues, Rutschman is 78th in home runs and 67th in RBI.
Santander has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 20 home runs and 63 RBI.
Santander is 33rd overall in homers and 40th in RBI this season.
Gunnar Henderson has 16 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 45 walks while hitting .242.
Adam Frazier is hitting .243 with 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks.

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