Astros vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 18

Updated Sep. 18, 2023 10:00 p.m. ET

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Justin Verlander gets the nod for the Houston Astros on Monday at Minute Maid Park against Adley Rutschman and the Baltimore Orioles. First pitch is at 8:10 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Astros are the favorite in this one, at -191, while the underdog Orioles have +161 odds to win. Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's total is set at 8.5 runs.

The Houston Astros will give the start to Verlander (11-8, 3.39 ERA), who is looking for win No. 12 on the season, and the Orioles will counter with John Means (0-1, 5.40 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, September 18, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
• Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet SW

Astros vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 5, Orioles 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 52%, Orioles 48%

Astros vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Astros have been favorites in 110 games this season and won 58 (52.7%) of those contests.
• Houston is 17-10 this season when entering a game favored by -191 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 65.6%.
• The Orioles have been victorious in 41, or 56.9%, of the 72 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Baltimore has a mark of 3-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +161 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 38.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros went 4-5 across the nine games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Astros combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
• The Astros' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Kyle Tucker leads the Astros with 105 runs batted in while putting up a team-best batting average of .283.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Tucker is 27th in homers and third in RBI.
• Alex Bregman is batting .269 with 27 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 83 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Bregman ranks 54th in homers and 13th in RBI.
• Yordan Alvarez has a team-best 28 home runs.
• Alvarez is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .316 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
• Jose Altuve has 17 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .311.
• Altuve is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBI.

Learn more about this Astros vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 2-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Rutschman is batting .270 with 25 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 84 walks.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Rutschman ranks 88th in home runs and 62nd in RBI.
• Gunnar Henderson has put up a team-best 27 home runs.
• Henderson ranks 27th overall in home runs and 44th in RBI this season.
• Anthony Santander leads the Orioles in home runs (27) and runs batted in (84).
• Austin Hays leads the team in batting average with a mark of .280.

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