Astros vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Astros vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 10

Updated Sep. 10, 2023 2:06 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Yordan Alvarez and the Houston Astros will take the field against the San Diego Padres and Juan Soto at Minute Maid Park on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. The Padres are +144 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Astros (-170). Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's total has been set at 10 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Houston Astros looking to J.P. France (10-5), and Matt Waldron (0-2) getting the nod for the San Diego Padres.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Padres game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, September 10, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -170 +144 10 -109 -111 -1.5 +113 -135

Astros vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Astros 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 54%, Padres 46%

Astros vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 55 out of the 103 games, or 53.4%, in which they've been favored.
  • Houston has entered 38 games this season favored by -170 or more and is 25-13 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 63% chance to win.
  • The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (30.6%) in those games.
  • Oddsmakers have given San Diego the worst odds of winning it has seen this season with a +144 moneyline listed for this contest.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 41% chance of walking away with the win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-4 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Astros combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total seven times.
  • The Astros have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.8
HR 22
ERA 4.40
K/9 8.2

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Astros Player Insights

  • Not only does Kyle Tucker lead the Astros in hitting with his .287 average, he also paces the squad with 26 home runs and 101 RBI.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Tucker is 14th in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage, and 17th in slugging.
  • Alex Bregman has 26 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks while batting .272.
  • Bregman ranks 51st in homers and 11th in RBI on the season.
  • Bregman carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .395 with four doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Alvarez has launched a team-high 26 homers.
  • Alvarez has at least one base hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .438 with a double, three home runs, nine walks and seven RBI.
  • Jeremy Pena is batting .267 with 29 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Pena takes a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .326 with four doubles, a triple, a walk and two RBI.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+235) 0.5 (+105)
José Abreu 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+160)
Jose Altuve 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+150)
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • The Padres have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Padres have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 13
ERA 3.47
K/9 8.7

Padres Player Insights

  • Soto has managed a team-high 28 home runs and has driven in 85 runs.
  • In all of the big leagues, Soto is 21st in home runs and 25th in RBI.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has a club-best .271 batting average.
  • Kim ranks 101st in homers and 104th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .257 with 29 doubles, a triple, 23 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Manny Machado is batting .251 with 20 doubles, 26 home runs and 47 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+340) 0.5 (+120)
Luis Campusano 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+160)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+245)
Xander Bogaerts 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+160)
Garrett Cooper 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+175)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Astros vs Padres!

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