Astros vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Astros vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

The Houston Astros and Yordan Alvarez will hit the field against the San Diego Padres and Manny Machado on Tuesday at 9:40 p.m. ET, in the second game of a three-game series at PETCO Park. The favored Astros have -110 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Padres, who are listed at -109. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's total has been set at 7 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Houston Astros took on the Cincinnati Reds in this regular season matchup.
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Astros vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, September 17, 2024 at 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -110 -109 7 -110 -110 -1.5 +156 -187

Astros vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 54%, Padres 46%

Astros vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Astros have entered the game as favorites 111 times this season and won 63, or 56.8%, of those games.
  • This season Houston has won 63 of its 111 games, or 56.8%, when favored by at least -110 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 52.4% chance to win.
  • The Padres have come away with 29 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • San Diego has a mark of 29-22 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -109 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 52.2% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL (10)
HOU 4 · SD 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Houston Astros
HOU
San Diego Padres
SD

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros have a 6-3 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Astros' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 11
ERA 3.91
K/9 8.7

Astros Player Insights

  • Alvarez's 34 round-trippers and 85 RBI both lead the Astros, on top of his team-high .308 average.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Alvarez's home run total places him 10th, and his RBI tally puts him 28th.
  • Jose Altuve is hitting .302 with 29 doubles, 19 home runs and 45 walks.
  • Altuve is 75th in home runs and 80th in RBI on the season.
  • Alex Bregman is hitting .254 with 28 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Yainer Diaz is batting .298 with 26 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 23 walks.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yainer Diaz 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+165)
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+175)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+240)
Jeremy Pena 0.5 (-205) 0.5 (-205) - 0.5 (+235)
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-160) - 0.5 (+280)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Padres have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
  • The Padres have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 14
ERA 2.70
K/9 8.7

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar is hitting .285 with 27 doubles, 23 home runs and 74 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .386.
  • In all of the majors, Profar ranks 41st in homers and 30th in RBI.
  • Machado has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 26 home runs and 99 runs batted in.
  • Machado is 26th in home runs and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Luis Arraez leads the Padres with a team-high batting average of .323.
  • Jackson Merrill is hitting .290 with 27 doubles, six triples, 24 home runs and 26 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+165)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+255)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+160)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+190)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-140) - 0.5 (+220)

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Houston Astros took on the Cincinnati Reds in this regular season matchup.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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San Diego Padres
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