Astros vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 9

Astros vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 9

Updated Sep. 9, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Kyle Tucker and the Houston Astros square off against Juan Soto and the San Diego Padres on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET. The Astros are favored in this one, at -122, while the underdog Padres have +102 odds to play spoiler. Houston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under for the contest is set at 9 runs.

The Astros will start Cristian Javier (9-3) versus the Padres and Seth Lugo (6-6).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Padres game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -122 +102 9 -116 -104 -1.5 +161 -193

Astros vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Astros 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 53%, Padres 47%

Astros vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 54 out of the 102 games, or 52.9%, in which they've been favored.
  • Houston has a record of 51-37 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -122 on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Padres have come away with 11 wins in the 35 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, San Diego has come away with a win five times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 49.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros were the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and finished 1-4 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
  • The Astros have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 7.4
HR 24
ERA 4.40
K/9 7.8

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Astros Player Insights

  • Tucker has accumulated a team-high batting average of .288, while leading the Astros in home runs (26) and runs batted in (99).
  • Of all batters in the majors, Tucker ranks 27th in home runs and fourth in RBI.
  • Alex Bregman has 25 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 78 walks while hitting .272.
  • Bregman ranks 49th in home runs and ninth in RBI in the bigs.
  • Bregman has six games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is hitting .395 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
  • Yordan Alvarez has 17 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs and 59 walks while batting .292.
  • Alvarez is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .353 with two home runs, eight walks and five RBI.
  • Jeremy Pena is batting .267 with 29 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Pena has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two doubles and an RBI.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
José Abreu 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+165)
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+180)
Michael Brantley 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+185)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+225)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 1-2.
  • The Padres and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Padres are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 13
ERA 3.12
K/9 9.2

Padres Player Insights

  • Soto leads the Padres in home runs (28) and runs batted in (85).
  • In all of the majors, Soto ranks 20th in home runs and 24th in RBI.
  • Ha-Seong Kim is batting .273 to lead the lineup.
  • Kim is 100th in home runs and 104th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .260 with 29 doubles, a triple, 23 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Manny Machado is hitting .253 with 20 doubles, 26 home runs and 47 walks.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manny Machado 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+125)
Luis Campusano 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+180)
Garrett Cooper 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+180)
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (-149) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+240)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+245)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Astros vs Padres!

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