Astros vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 28

Updated Aug. 28, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Nicholas Castellanos and the Philadelphia Phillies take the field against Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday at 4:05 p.m. ET. The favored Astros have -120 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Phillies, who are listed at +101. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest's over/under is listed at 10 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Phillies vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from this game between the Houston Astros and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Astros vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, August 28, 2024 at 4:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: NBCS-PH

Astros vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Astros 5
• Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 54%, Phillies 46%

Astros vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• This season, the Astros have been favored 94 times and won 52, or 55.3%, of those games.
• This season Houston has won 46 of its 80 games, or 57.5%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• The Phillies have been victorious in 13, or 48.1%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 7-10 when favored by +101 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

HOU 10 · PHI 0

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Houston Astros

HOU

-1.5

-123

O 10

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI

+1.5

+104

U 10

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Astros' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Yordan Alvarez's .305 average and 25 homers both put him atop the Astros leaderboard this season.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Alvarez is 21st in homers and 43rd in RBI.
• Alvarez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with two walks and an RBI.
• Altuve is batting .297 with 22 doubles, 18 home runs and 38 walks.
• Including all major league batters, Altuve ranks 65th in home runs and 82nd in RBI.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .259 with 25 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 37 walks.
• Yainer Diaz's 72 runs batted in pace his team.

Astros Team Props

Learn more about this Astros vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• The Phillies have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Phillies have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Alec Bohm has put up a team-leading 89 runs batted in.
• In all of the big leagues, Bohm is 121st in homers and 10th in RBI.
• Bryce Harper has 31 doubles, 26 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .279.
• Harper is currently 20th in homers and 26th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Kyle Schwarber has 28 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Castellanos is batting .250 with 26 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 32 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Astros vs. Orioles Highlights | MLB on FOX

Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles highlights on Saturday. August 24th.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 08/28/2024

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