Astros vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Hunter Brown and Bailey Falter are the projected starters when the Houston Astros and Pittsburgh Pirates play on Tuesday at Minute Maid Park. The Astros are the favorite in this one, at -200, while the underdog Pirates have +165 odds to upset. Houston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +104 odds). The matchup's total is set at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Pirates vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Pittsburgh Pirates and Houston Astros game on July 29th, 2024.

Astros vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: SCHN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-200	+165	8.5	-104	-116	-1.5	+104	-124

Astros vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 54%, Pirates 46%

Astros vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Astros have been favorites in 76 games this season and won 41 (53.9%) of those contests.
Houston is 7-2 this season when entering a game favored by -200 or more on the moneyline.
The Astros have a 66.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Pirates have come away with 30 wins in the 62 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has been victorious one time in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +165 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 37.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros have a 3-3 record across the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Astros have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	11
ERA	3.93
K/9	10.2

Astros Player Insights

Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 20 home runs on the year. He's also hitting .299 with 55 RBI.
Alvarez is 21st in homers and 41st in RBI among all batters in baseball.
Jose Altuve has a club-high .311 batting average.
Altuve ranks 67th in homers and 72nd in RBI on the year.
Altuve heads into this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .450 with three doubles, three walks and three RBI.
Alex Bregman is batting .254 with 20 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 33 walks.
Jeremy Pena is hitting .279 with 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 19 walks.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jose Altuve	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+170)
Alex Bregman	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+190)
Jake Meyers	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Jeremy Pena	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+190)
Yordan Alvarez	0.5 (-255)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	7
ERA	3.34
K/9	7.1

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 18 home runs and 61 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .288.
Reynolds' home run total places him 28th in the big leagues, and he is 28th in RBI.
Reynolds has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .294 with four walks.
Oneil Cruz is batting .253 with 22 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 28 walks.
Cruz is 39th in home runs and 44th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Andrew McCutchen has 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 46 walks while hitting .224.
Connor Joe is batting .237 with 18 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 30 walks.

Pirates Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.5 (-190)	0.5 (-190)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+270)
Joey Bart	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+250)
Connor Joe	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+265)
Andrew McCutchen	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+255)
Michael A. Taylor	0.5 (+105)	0.5 (+105)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+330)