Astros vs. Rangers ALCS Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 15

Updated Oct. 15, 2023 8:03 p.m. ET

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The Houston Astros will host the Texas Rangers to start the ALCS on Sunday at 8:15 PM ET, live on FOX from Minute Maid Park. Bookmakers list the Astros as -138 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Rangers +117 moneyline odds to win. Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game.

The probable starters are Justin Verlander (13-8, 3.22 ERA) for the Astros against Jordan Montgomery (10-11, 3.20 ERA) for the Rangers.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, October 15, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET
• Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
• How to Watch on TV: FOX

Astros vs. Rangers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rangers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 52%, Rangers 48%

Astros vs. Rangers Betting Insights

• The Astros have been favorites in 120 games this season and won 62 (51.7%) of those contests.
• Houston is 42-39 this season when entering a game favored by -138 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 58%.
• The Rangers have come away with 28 wins in the 54 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Texas has been victorious 10 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +117 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros went 4-1 over the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Astros combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
• The Astros' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Kyle Tucker comes into Sunday's game as the Astros top run producer, delivering 112 RBI while launching 29 homers in 2023. His .284 average is also best on the squad.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Tucker is 30th in home runs and third in RBI.
• Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks while hitting .262.
• Bregman ranks 46th in homers in the majors, and 19th in RBI.
• Yordan Alvarez has a team-high 31 home runs.
• Alvarez has at least one base hit in eight straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .333 with three doubles, six home runs, four walks and eight RBI.
• Jose Altuve is batting .311 with 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks.

Astros Team Props

Learn more about this Astros vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• The Rangers have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• The Rangers and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rangers are 9-1-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Marcus Semien has 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks while hitting .276.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Semien ranks 30th in homers and 16th in RBI.
• Corey Seager's .327 batting average paces his team.
• Seager is 16th overall in home runs and 27th in RBI this year.
• Adolis Garcia has been a significant run producer for the Rangers with 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
• Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks while batting .262.

Rangers Team Props

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