The ALCS rolls on Monday at 4:37 PM ET when the Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers live on FOX from Minute Maid Park. The Rangers will look to move one step closer to the World Series while the Astros hope to even up the series with a win. The favored Astros have -121 moneyline odds against the underdog Rangers, who are listed at +102. Houston is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +167 odds). An 8.5-run total is listed for this game.
The probable starters are Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45 ERA) for the Astros against Nathan Eovaldi (12-5, 3.63 ERA) for the Rangers.
Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Astros vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds
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When: Monday, October 16, 2023 at 4:37 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: FOX
Favorite
Favorite Moneyline
Underdog Moneyline
Total
Over Total Odds
Under Total Odds
Run Line
Favorite Run Line Odds
Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros
-121
+102
8.5
-110
-110
-1.5
+167
-200
Astros vs. Rangers Prediction
Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rangers 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 52%, Rangers 48%
Astros vs. Rangers Betting Insights
The Astros have been favorites in 121 games this season and won 62 (51.2%) of those contests.
Houston has a record of 58-49, a 54.2% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Astros.
The Rangers have been underdogs in 55 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (52.7%) in those contests.
This year, Texas has won 19 of 38 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Astros Recent Betting Performance
The Astros were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they went 4-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Astros combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
The Astros' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.
Astros Recent Stats
Stat
Avg/Total
Record
7-3
Runs Per Game
4.1
HR
15
ERA
2.43
K/9
10.6
Astros Player Insights
Kyle Tucker comes into Monday's game hitting .284 with 112 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Astros. He has also launched 29 round-trippers in 2023.
Tucker is 30th in home runs and third in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks while batting .262.
Bregman ranks 46th in homers and 19th in RBI in the major leagues.