Astros vs. Rangers ALCS Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 16

Astros vs. Rangers ALCS Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 16

Updated Oct. 16, 2023 4:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The ALCS rolls on Monday at 4:37 PM ET when the Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers live on FOX from Minute Maid Park. The Rangers will look to move one step closer to the World Series while the Astros hope to even up the series with a win. The favored Astros have -121 moneyline odds against the underdog Rangers, who are listed at +102. Houston is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +167 odds). An 8.5-run total is listed for this game.

The probable starters are Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45 ERA) for the Astros against Nathan Eovaldi (12-5, 3.63 ERA) for the Rangers.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Monday, October 16, 2023 at 4:37 PM ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
  • How to Watch on TV: FOX
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -121 +102 8.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +167 -200

Astros vs. Rangers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rangers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 52%, Rangers 48%

Astros vs. Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been favorites in 121 games this season and won 62 (51.2%) of those contests.
  • Houston has a record of 58-49, a 54.2% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • The Rangers have been underdogs in 55 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (52.7%) in those contests.
  • This year, Texas has won 19 of 38 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they went 4-2 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Astros combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
  • The Astros' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 15
ERA 2.43
K/9 10.6

Astros Player Insights

  • Kyle Tucker comes into Monday's game hitting .284 with 112 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Astros. He has also launched 29 round-trippers in 2023.
  • Tucker is 30th in home runs and third in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks while batting .262.
  • Bregman ranks 46th in homers and 19th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit a team-high 31 home runs.
  • Jose Altuve is batting .311 with 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kyle Tucker 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+180)
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+135)
Michael Brantley 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+220)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+235)
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+250)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Rangers have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and have gone 6-3 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents have failed to hit the over nine times.
  • The Rangers are 9-1-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 10
ERA 2.48
K/9 8.7

Rangers Player Insights

  • Marcus Semien is batting .276 with 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .348.
  • In all of the majors, Semien is 30th in home runs and 16th in RBI.
  • Corey Seager has a club-leading .327 batting average.
  • Seager is currently 16th in home runs and 27th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Adolis Garcia paces the Rangers in home runs (39) and runs batted in (107).
  • Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks while batting .262.

Rangers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Marcus Semien 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)
Adolis García 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+150)
Corey Seager 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+170)
Jonah Heim 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+190)
Josh Jung 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+205)
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