Data Skrive
The Houston Astros will host the Texas Rangers in the sixth game of the ALCS on Sunday at 8:03 PM ET, live on Fox Sports 1 from Minute Maid Park. The Rangers hope to force a Game 7 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 3-2. The Rangers are listed as +102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Astros (-121). Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.
The Astros are set to send out Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45 ERA) against the Rangers and Nathan Eovaldi (12-5, 3.63 ERA).
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Astros vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 8:03 PM ET
- Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
- How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
Favorite |
Favorite Moneyline |
Underdog Moneyline |
Total |
Over Total Odds |
Under Total Odds |
Run Line |
Favorite Run Line Odds |
Underdog Run Line Odds |
Astros |
-121 |
+102 |
8.5 |
-118 |
-102 |
-1.5 |
+168 |
-202 |
Astros vs. Rangers Prediction
- Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rangers 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Astros 53%, Rangers 47%
Astros vs. Rangers Betting Insights
- The Astros have won 63, or 51.2%, of the 123 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Houston has entered 108 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 58-50 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
- The Rangers have come away with 30 wins in the 57 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Texas has a mark of 20-19 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Astros Recent Betting Performance
- The Astros played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and finished 3-3 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
- The Astros' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.
Astros Recent Stats
Stat |
Avg/Total |
Record |
7-3 |
Runs Per Game |
5.5 |
HR |
20 |
ERA |
3.20 |
K/9 |
9.5 |
Astros Player Insights
- Kyle Tucker comes into Sunday's game hitting .284 with 112 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Astros. He has also launched 29 homers in 2023.
- In all of Major League Baseball, Tucker is 30th in home runs and third in RBI.
- Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks while batting .262.
- Bregman ranks 46th in homers and 19th in RBI on the season.
- Bregman heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a triple, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
- Yordan Alvarez has launched a team-best 31 home runs.
- Alvarez will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
- Jose Altuve has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while batting .311.
- Altuve is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
Astros Team Props
|
Hits O/U |
Total Bases O/U |
HR O/U |
RBI O/U |
Yordan Alvarez |
0.5 (-208) |
1.5 (+115) |
0.5 (+285) |
0.5 (+135) |
Mauricio Dubon |
0.5 (-233) |
1.5 (+150) |
0.5 (+750) |
0.5 (+200) |
Kyle Tucker |
0.5 (-196) |
1.5 (+145) |
0.5 (+450) |
0.5 (+180) |
José Abreu |
0.5 (-208) |
1.5 (+145) |
0.5 (+500) |
0.5 (+170) |
Michael Brantley |
0.5 (-263) |
1.5 (+130) |
0.5 (+700) |
0.5 (+240) |
Learn more about this Astros vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.
Rangers Recent Betting Performance
- In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rangers have a record of 6-1.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents are 4-4-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Rangers are 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Rangers Recent Stats
Stat |
Avg/Total |
Record |
7-3 |
Runs Per Game |
5.1 |
HR |
15 |
ERA |
3.80 |
K/9 |
7.8 |
Rangers Player Insights
- Marcus Semien is batting .276 with 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks.
- Among all hitters in the big leagues, Semien ranks 30th in homers and 16th in RBI.
- Corey Seager's .327 batting average paces his team.
- Seager ranks 16th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
- Adolis Garcia has been a significant run producer for the Rangers with 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
- Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks while batting .262.
Rangers Team Props
|
Hits O/U |
Total Bases O/U |
HR O/U |
RBI O/U |
Jonah Heim |
0.5 (-222) |
1.5 (+135) |
0.5 (+500) |
0.5 (+180) |
Marcus Semien |
1.5 (+195) |
1.5 (+105) |
0.5 (+475) |
0.5 (+180) |
Corey Seager |
0.5 (-263) |
1.5 (+115) |
0.5 (+360) |
0.5 (+155) |
Adolis García |
0.5 (-204) |
1.5 (+120) |
0.5 (+290) |
0.5 (+135) |
Josh Jung |
0.5 (-185) |
0.5 (-185) |
0.5 (+475) |
0.5 (+190) |