The Houston Astros will host the Texas Rangers in the sixth game of the ALCS on Sunday at 8:03 PM ET, live on Fox Sports 1 from Minute Maid Park. The Rangers hope to force a Game 7 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 3-2. The Rangers are listed as +102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Astros (-121). Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.
The Astros are set to send out Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45 ERA) against the Rangers and Nathan Eovaldi (12-5, 3.63 ERA).
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Astros vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds
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When: Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 8:03 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
Favorite
Favorite Moneyline
Underdog Moneyline
Total
Over Total Odds
Under Total Odds
Run Line
Favorite Run Line Odds
Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros
-121
+102
8.5
-118
-102
-1.5
+168
-202
Astros vs. Rangers Prediction
Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rangers 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 53%, Rangers 47%
Astros vs. Rangers Betting Insights
The Astros have won 63, or 51.2%, of the 123 games they've played as favorites this season.
Houston has entered 108 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 58-50 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
The Rangers have come away with 30 wins in the 57 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Texas has a mark of 20-19 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Astros Recent Betting Performance
The Astros played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and finished 3-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
The Astros' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.
Astros Recent Stats
Stat
Avg/Total
Record
7-3
Runs Per Game
5.5
HR
20
ERA
3.20
K/9
9.5
Astros Player Insights
Kyle Tucker comes into Sunday's game hitting .284 with 112 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Astros. He has also launched 29 homers in 2023.
In all of Major League Baseball, Tucker is 30th in home runs and third in RBI.
Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks while batting .262.
Bregman ranks 46th in homers and 19th in RBI on the season.
Bregman heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a triple, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
Alvarez will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
Jose Altuve has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while batting .311.
Altuve is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.