Astros vs. Rangers ALCS Game 6 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 22

Astros vs. Rangers ALCS Game 6 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 22

Updated Oct. 22, 2023 8:04 p.m. ET

The Houston Astros will host the Texas Rangers in the sixth game of the ALCS on Sunday at 8:03 PM ET, live on Fox Sports 1 from Minute Maid Park. The Rangers hope to force a Game 7 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 3-2. The Rangers are listed as +102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Astros (-121). Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.

The Astros are set to send out Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45 ERA) against the Rangers and Nathan Eovaldi (12-5, 3.63 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 8:03 PM ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
  • How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -121 +102 8.5 -118 -102 -1.5 +168 -202

Astros vs. Rangers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rangers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 53%, Rangers 47%

Astros vs. Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Astros have won 63, or 51.2%, of the 123 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Houston has entered 108 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 58-50 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
  • The Rangers have come away with 30 wins in the 57 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Texas has a mark of 20-19 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and finished 3-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
  • The Astros' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 20
ERA 3.20
K/9 9.5

Astros Player Insights

  • Kyle Tucker comes into Sunday's game hitting .284 with 112 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Astros. He has also launched 29 homers in 2023.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Tucker is 30th in home runs and third in RBI.
  • Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks while batting .262.
  • Bregman ranks 46th in homers and 19th in RBI on the season.
  • Bregman heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a triple, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
  • Yordan Alvarez has launched a team-best 31 home runs.
  • Alvarez will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
  • Jose Altuve has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while batting .311.
  • Altuve is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+285) 0.5 (+135)
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+200)
Kyle Tucker 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+180)
José Abreu 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+170)
Michael Brantley 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+240)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rangers have a record of 6-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents are 4-4-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Rangers are 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 15
ERA 3.80
K/9 7.8

Rangers Player Insights

  • Marcus Semien is batting .276 with 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Semien ranks 30th in homers and 16th in RBI.
  • Corey Seager's .327 batting average paces his team.
  • Seager ranks 16th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Adolis Garcia has been a significant run producer for the Rangers with 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
  • Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks while batting .262.

Rangers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jonah Heim 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+180)
Marcus Semien 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+180)
Corey Seager 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+155)
Adolis García 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+290) 0.5 (+135)
Josh Jung 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+190)
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