Astros vs. Rangers ALCS Game 6 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 22

Updated Oct. 22, 2023 8:04 p.m. ET

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The Houston Astros will host the Texas Rangers in the sixth game of the ALCS on Sunday at 8:03 PM ET, live on Fox Sports 1 from Minute Maid Park. The Rangers hope to force a Game 7 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 3-2. The Rangers are listed as +102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Astros (-121). Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.

The Astros are set to send out Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.45 ERA) against the Rangers and Nathan Eovaldi (12-5, 3.63 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, October 22, 2023 at 8:03 PM ET
• Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Astros vs. Rangers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rangers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 53%, Rangers 47%

Astros vs. Rangers Betting Insights

• The Astros have won 63, or 51.2%, of the 123 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Houston has entered 108 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 58-50 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 54.8%.
• The Rangers have come away with 30 wins in the 57 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Texas has a mark of 20-19 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rangers have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and finished 3-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
• The Astros' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Kyle Tucker comes into Sunday's game hitting .284 with 112 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Astros. He has also launched 29 homers in 2023.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Tucker is 30th in home runs and third in RBI.
• Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks while batting .262.
• Bregman ranks 46th in homers and 19th in RBI on the season.
• Bregman heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a triple, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
• Yordan Alvarez has launched a team-best 31 home runs.
• Alvarez will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with two home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
• Jose Altuve has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while batting .311.
• Altuve is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.

Astros Team Props

Learn more about this Astros vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rangers have a record of 6-1.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents are 4-4-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Rangers are 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Marcus Semien is batting .276 with 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Semien ranks 30th in homers and 16th in RBI.
• Corey Seager's .327 batting average paces his team.
• Seager ranks 16th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Adolis Garcia has been a significant run producer for the Rangers with 39 home runs and 107 runs batted in.
• Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks while batting .262.

Rangers Team Props

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MLB - Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - 10/23/2023