Astros vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Texas Rangers and Marcus Semien hit the field at Minute Maid Park against Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros on Wednesday. The Astros are favored in this one, at -178, while the underdog Rangers have +150 odds to play spoiler. Houston (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for this matchup.

The Houston Astros will hand the ball to Framber Valdez (8-6, 2.94 ERA), who is looking for win No. 9 on the season, and the Rangers will turn to Andrew Heaney (6-6, 4.58 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 26, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet SW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-178	+150	8.5	-117	-102	-1.5	+113	-135

Astros vs. Rangers Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rangers 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 51%, Rangers 49%

Astros vs. Rangers Betting Insights

The Astros have been favorites in 70 games this season and won 39 (55.7%) of those contests.
Houston has entered 26 games this season favored by -178 or more and is 18-8 in those contests.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 64% chance of a victory for the Astros.
The Rangers have been victorious in 18, or 54.5%, of the 33 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, Texas has won two of five games when listed as at least +150 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 40% chance of pulling out a win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros were favored on the moneyline in nine of their last 10 games, and they went 6-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Astros combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
The Astros' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	19
ERA	4.39
K/9	8.9

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Astros Player Insights

Kyle Tucker leads the Astros with 18 home runs and 69 runs batted in, while accumulating a team-best batting average of .305.
Including all MLB hitters, Tucker is seventh in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage, and ninth in slugging.
Tucker takes a hitting streak of 11 games into this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .421 with four doubles, five home runs, seven walks and 12 RBI.
Bregman is batting .253 with 14 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 54 walks.
Bregman ranks 48th in homers and 18th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
Mauricio Dubon is batting .265 with 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 10 walks.
Chas McCormick is batting .282 with 12 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks.
McCormick brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and seven RBI.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Mauricio Dubon	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+205)
Alex Bregman	0.5 (-189)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+155)
José Abreu	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+170)
Jeremy Pena	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+190)
Kyle Tucker	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rangers have a record of 2-2.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
Over their last 10 games, the Rangers are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Rangers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	12
ERA	5.72
K/9	8

Rangers Player Insights

Semien has 27 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 44 walks while batting .275.
Among all batters in MLB, Semien's home run total ranks 69th and his RBI tally is 25th.
Semien brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .273 with a home run and two RBI.
Adolis Garcia has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 24 home runs and 80 runs batted in.
Garcia ranks ninth in homers and first in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Nate Lowe paces the Rangers with a team-high batting average of .284.
Jonah Heim leads the Rangers with a team-leading batting average of .284.

Rangers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ezequiel Duran	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
Marcus Semien	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Nate Lowe	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+165)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+200)
Josh Jung	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+195)
Jonah Heim	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+185)

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