Astros vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays will take the field on Saturday at Minute Maid Park against Hunter Brown, who is expected to start for the Houston Astros. First pitch is at 7:15 PM ET. The favored Astros have -144 moneyline odds against the underdog Rays, who are listed at +123. Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +144 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the game.

The Astros will give the ball to Brown (6-7) against the Rays and Taj Bradley (5-6).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rays game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 29, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: FOX

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-144	+123	8.5	-119	-101	-1.5	+144	-173

Astros vs. Rays Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rays 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 50%, Rays 50%

Astros vs. Rays Betting Insights

The Astros have won 39, or 54.9%, of the 71 games they've played as favorites this season.
Houston has a record of 27-18, a 60% win rate, when favored by -144 or more by oddsmakers this season.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Astros.
The Rays have come away with six wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Tampa Bay has a win-loss record of 1-3 when favored by +123 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Rays have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and went 5-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.
The Astros' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	15
ERA	4.19
K/9	7.9

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Astros Player Insights

Not only does Kyle Tucker lead the Astros in hitting with his .304 average, he also is their premier power option with 18 home runs and 69 RBI.
Tucker's home runs rank him 30th in MLB, and he ranks 12th in RBI.
Alex Bregman has 14 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 54 walks while hitting .253.
Bregman is 37th in homers and 16th in RBI on the season.
Yordan Alvarez is batting .274 with 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 33 walks.
Alvarez will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .214 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
Mauricio Dubon has 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 10 walks while batting .263.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Yainer Diaz	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+150)
Jose Altuve	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+200)
Kyle Tucker	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+175)
José Abreu	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Alex Bregman	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and lost both contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
The Rays have won two of their last 10 games against the spread.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	2.9
HR	9
ERA	3.67
K/9	11.2

Rays Player Insights

Wander Franco has 23 doubles, five triples, 11 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .264.
Among all hitters in MLB, Franco's home run total ranks 119th and his RBI tally is 72nd.
Diaz's .315 batting average leads his team.
Diaz is 74th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 70th in RBI.
Randy Arozarena has a team-high 62 runs batted in.
Isaac Paredes is batting .253 with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 35 walks.

Rays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Harold Ramirez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+210)
Randy Arozarena	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+160)
Wander Franco	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+245)
Yandy Díaz	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+220)
Josh Lowe	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+210)

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