Astros vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Isaac Paredes and the Tampa Bay Rays hit the field on Sunday at Minute Maid Park against Brandon Bielak, who is starting for the Houston Astros. First pitch is set for 2:10 PM ET. The Astros are favored in this one, at -127, while the underdog Rays have +107 odds to play spoiler. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9-run total is set for this matchup.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Houston Astros looking to Bielak (5-5), and Zack Littell (0-2) getting the nod for the Tampa Bay Rays.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rays game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet SW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-127	+107	9	-114	-105	-1.5	+156	-185

Astros vs. Rays Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rays 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 51%, Rays 49%

Astros vs. Rays Betting Insights

The Astros have entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 40, or 55.6%, of those games.
Houston has entered 57 games this season favored by -127 or more and is 35-22 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 55.9%.
The Rays have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win six times (33.3%) in those contests.
Tampa Bay has a win-loss record of 1-8 when favored by +107 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 48.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros have a 6-2 record across the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Astros have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	20
ERA	4.15
K/9	7.6

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Astros Player Insights

Kyle Tucker leads the Astros with 18 home runs and 69 runs batted in, while putting up a team-high batting average of .299.
Including all MLB hitters, Tucker is 11th in batting average, 10th in on-base percentage, and 14th in slugging.
Alex Bregman has shown off his power as he leads his team with 18 home runs.
Among all MLB hitters, Bregman ranks 31st in homers and 14th in RBI.
Yordan Alvarez has hit a team-best 18 home runs.
Alvarez has at least one base hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .375 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
Mauricio Dubon is batting .263 with 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 11 walks.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jeremy Pena	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+225)
Yordan Alvarez	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+300)	0.5 (+140)
Jose Altuve	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+225)
Kyle Tucker	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+155)
José Abreu	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Rays matchup on Fox Sports.

Rays Recent Betting Performance

The Rays have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Rays have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.1
HR	11
ERA	5.11
K/9	10.9

Rays Player Insights

Wander Franco is batting .267 with 23 doubles, five triples, 12 home runs and 37 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .332.
In all of MLB, Franco ranks 103rd in homers and 72nd in RBI.
Yandy Diaz has a club-high .312 batting average.
Diaz ranks 75th in home runs and 71st in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Randy Arozarena has racked up a team-best 62 runs batted in.
Paredes has posted a team-high 20 home runs and has driven in 62 runs.

Rays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Randy Arozarena	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+135)
Wander Franco	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+215)
Harold Ramirez	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+175)
Yandy Díaz	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+195)
Brandon Lowe	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+150)

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