Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Hunter Brown and James Paxton will each get the start when the Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox play on Sunday at Fenway Park, at 1:35 PM ET. The Astros are -142 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Red Sox (+119). Houston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +111 odds). The over/under is 10.5 runs for this game.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Astros vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox.

Astros vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, August 11, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: SCHN

Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 52%, Red Sox 48%

Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Astros have won 45 out of the 83 games, or 54.2%, in which they've been favored.
• Houston has a record of 29-19, a 60.4% win rate, when favored by -142 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 58.7% chance to win.
• The Red Sox have come away with 30 wins in the 57 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Boston has won eight of 20 games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

HOU 10 · BOS 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Houston Astros

HOU

-1.5

-143

O 10.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+120

U 10.5

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Astros have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Yordan Alvarez is the bat to watch in the Astros lineup, leading the team in batting average (.304), home runs (24), and RBI (62).
• Among all hitters in MLB, Alvarez is 17th in homers and 39th in RBI.
• Alvarez takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with a double, four home runs, six walks and seven RBI.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .258 with 23 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 35 walks.
• Bregman ranks 70th in home runs and 65th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Bregman has five games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .435 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
• Jose Altuve is hitting .299 with 21 doubles, 15 home runs and 34 walks.
• Yainer Diaz is batting .300 with 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 18 walks.
• Diaz brings a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with a home run, two walks and two RBI.

Astros Team Props

Learn more about this Astros vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• The Red Sox have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Red Sox are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Jarren Duran is hitting .293 with 36 doubles, 13 triples, 14 home runs and 41 walks.
• In all of the majors, Duran ranks 84th in homers and 51st in RBI.
• Rafael Devers has hit 25 home runs with 71 RBI while batting .300. Those numbers are pace the clubhouse.
• Devers ranks 14th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 19th in RBI.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .260 with 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 15 walks.
• Wilyer Abreu has 24 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .269.

Red Sox Team Props

Astros vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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