Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 21

Updated Aug. 21, 2023 8:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox will send Cristian Javier and James Paxton, respectively, out for the start when the two squads square off on Monday at Minute Maid Park, at 8:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are +110 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Astros (-131). Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Houston Astros looking to Javier (8-2), and Paxton (7-3) taking the ball for the Boston Red Sox.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Astros vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, August 21, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet SW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-131	+110	9	-104	-116	-1.5	+156	-187

Astros vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 5, Red Sox 4
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 54%, Red Sox 46%

Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

The Astros have entered the game as favorites 90 times this season and won 49, or 54.4%, of those games.
Houston is 40-28 this season when entering a game favored by -131 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.7% chance of a victory for the Astros.
The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 62 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (53.2%) in those games.
Boston has a win-loss record of 23-16 when favored by +110 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros were favored on the moneyline in each of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-6 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Astros' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	14
ERA	4.50
K/9	8.9

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Astros Player Insights

Kyle Tucker paces the Astros with 24 home runs and 92 runs batted in, while racking up a team-high batting average of .296.
Among all batters in the majors, Tucker's home run total places him 18th, and his RBI tally ranks him third.
Alex Bregman is hitting .252 with 18 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 69 walks.
Bregman is 42nd in home runs in MLB, and 12th in RBI.
Bregman has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
Yordan Alvarez is hitting .275 with 14 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 44 walks.
Mauricio Dubon is hitting .266 with 20 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 15 walks.
Dubon is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with two doubles, a home run and five RBI.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Kyle Tucker	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+155)
Mauricio Dubon	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+180)
Yordan Alvarez	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+140)
Jeremy Pena	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+195)
Alex Bregman	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and won both contests.
The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Red Sox have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	15
ERA	3.89
K/9	9.9

Red Sox Player Insights

Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 29 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 85.
In all of the majors, Devers ranks ninth in home runs and eighth in RBI.
Devers brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .476 with a double, three home runs, three walks and six RBI.
Justin Turner is batting .288 with 26 doubles, 20 home runs and 41 walks.
Turner is currently 42nd in home runs and 13th in RBI in the major leagues.
Masataka Yoshida has racked up a team-best batting average of .297.
Alex Verdugo has 31 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 41 walks while batting .270.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Rafael Devers	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+255)	0.5 (+135)
Triston Casas	0.5 (-179)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+135)
Justin Turner	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+165)
Alex Verdugo	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+210)
Luis Urías	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+260)

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