Astros vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Astros vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Updated Sep. 4, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Yordan Alvarez and the Houston Astros take the field against Spencer Steer and the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday at 6:40 p.m. ET, in the second of a three-game series at Great American Ball Park. The favored Astros have -141 moneyline odds against the underdog Reds, who are listed at +119. Houston is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +110 odds). The total for the matchup is set at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Houston Astros took on the Cincinnati Reds in this regular season matchup.
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Astros vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSOH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -141 +119 9 +101 -121 -1.5 +110 -131

Astros vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 6, Astros 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 51%, Reds 49%

Astros vs. Reds Betting Insights

  • The Astros have won 57, or 57%, of the 100 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season Houston has won 36 of its 57 games, or 63.2%, when favored by at least -141 on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have a 58.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 72 games this year and have walked away with the win 32 times (44.4%) in those games.
  • This year, Cincinnati has won 18 of 32 games when listed as at least +119 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
HOU 5 · CIN 12
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Houston Astros
HOU
Cincinnati Reds
CIN

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they went 5-1 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
  • The Astros' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 12
ERA 2.38
K/9 9.7

Astros Player Insights

  • Alvarez's .313 average and 30 homers both put him atop the Astros leaderboard this season.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Alvarez ranks 11th in homers and 39th in RBI.
  • Alvarez has collected a hit in 10 games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .375 with a double, five home runs, four walks and seven RBI.
  • Jose Altuve is batting .294 with 24 doubles, 18 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Altuve ranks 76th in homers and 92nd in RBI among all major league batters this season.
  • Alex Bregman is batting .260 with 26 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Yainer Diaz has put up 78 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Diaz is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .368 with a double and six RBI.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yainer Diaz 1.5 (+120) 1.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+125)
Victor Caratini 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+160)
Jeremy Pena 1.5 (+160) 1.5 (-105) - 0.5 (+145)
Yordan Alvarez 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (-140) - 0.5 (+100)
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • The Reds have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
  • The Reds have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 5
HR 7
ERA 5.57
K/9 7.9

Reds Player Insights

  • Elly De La Cruz has hit a team-best 22 home runs.
  • De La Cruz is 35th in home runs and 73rd in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
  • Steer has driven in the most runs for the Reds with 85 runs batted in.
  • Steer is 64th in home runs and 18th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
  • Jonathan India has 26 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 66 walks while batting .251.
  • Tyler Stephenson leads the team in batting average with a mark of .264.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+150)
Jonathan India 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+185)
Ty France 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+175)
Spencer Steer 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) - 0.5 (+160)
Amed Rosario 0.5 (-205) 0.5 () - 0.5 (+220)

Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Houston Astros took on the Cincinnati Reds in this regular season matchup.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cincinnati Reds
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