Astros vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 11

Updated Apr. 11, 2024 2:01 p.m. ET

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Alex Bregman and Adam Frazier will be among the star attractions when the Houston Astros play the Kansas City Royals on Thursday at 2:10 PM ET, at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals are +109 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Astros (-128). Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run over/under has been listed for the contest.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Royals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the Kansas City Royals.

Astros vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, April 11, 2024 at 2:10 PM ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Astros vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Royals 3, Astros 1
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 76%, Royals 24%

Astros vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Astros have won two, or 18.2%, of the 11 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Houston has a record of 2-4 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 56.1% chance to win.
• The Royals have come away with four wins in the eight contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Kansas City has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 47.8% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

HOU 3 · KC 13

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Houston Astros

HOU

-1.5

-133

o8.5

Kansas City Royals

KC

+1.5

+113

u8.5

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have a 2-6 record across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
• The Astros are 3-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games (nine of those games had a spread set by oddsmakers).

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Yordan Alvarez has accumulated a team-best batting average of .346, and paces the Astros in home runs (four) and runs batted in (11).
• Alvarez's home runs place him sixth in the majors, and he ranks 12th in RBI.
• Alvarez carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .550 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and eight RBI.
• Jose Altuve has five doubles, three home runs and seven walks while batting .340.
• Altuve is 13th in home runs and 185th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Altuve carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two doubles and four walks.
• Jeremy Pena has a double, two home runs and a walk while batting .327.
• Pena will look to build on his four-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with an RBI.
• Yainer Diaz is batting .326 with two doubles, two home runs and four walks.
• Diaz has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .150 with a double, a walk and two RBI.

Astros Team Props

Learn more about this Astros vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Player Insights

• MJ Melendez has launched a team-high three home runs.
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Melendez's home run total is 13th and his RBI tally ranks 41st.
• Melendez carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .344 with three doubles, three home runs, six walks and eight RBI.
• Bobby Witt Jr. is hitting .313 with five doubles, two triples, two home runs and four walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Witt Jr. is 41st in homers and 185th in RBI.
• Salvador Perez has driven in a team-high 10 runs batted in.
• Maikel Garcia leads the Royals in home runs (three) and runs batted in (10).

Royals Team Props

Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the Kansas City Royals.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals - 04/11/2024