Astros vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 15

Updated Sep. 15, 2023 8:01 p.m. ET

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Yordan Alvarez and Nelson Velazquez will look to continue their recent offensive production when the Houston Astros and Kansas City Royals play at Kauffman Stadium on Friday, at 8:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Astros as -151 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Royals +127 moneyline odds. Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 9-run total is set in the contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Houston Astros looking to Cristian Javier (9-3), and Zack Greinke (1-15) getting the nod for the Kansas City Royals.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 15, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Astros vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 6, Royals 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 54%, Royals 46%

Astros vs. Royals Betting Insights

• The Astros have won 57, or 53.3%, of the 107 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Houston is 34-19 this season when entering a game favored by -151 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.2% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• The Royals have been victorious in 38, or 30.6%, of the 124 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Kansas City has come away with a win 31 times in 97 chances when named as an underdog of at least +127 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have a 3-4 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Astros have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Kyle Tucker leads the Astros in home runs (27), runs batted in (105) and has a team-high batting average of .285.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Tucker's home run total ranks him 26th, and his RBI tally puts him third.
• Alex Bregman is batting .269 with 27 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 80 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Bregman is 49th in homers and 11th in RBI.
• Alvarez has hit a team-high 27 home runs.
• Alvarez is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a double, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
• Jeremy Pena is batting .266 with 30 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 39 walks.

Learn more about this Astros vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Royals had a record of 1-6.
• The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Royals have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 28 home runs and 88 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .276.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Witt Jr. ranks 22nd in home runs and 25th in RBI.
• Salvador Perez is batting .253 with 19 doubles, 21 home runs and 18 walks.
• Perez is 65th overall in homers and 71st in RBI this season.
• Maikel Garcia is hitting .273 with 19 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 33 walks.
• MJ Melendez is hitting .230 with 28 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 52 walks.

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