Astros vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 16

Updated Sep. 16, 2023 6:05 p.m. ET

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Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros will try to find success Cole Ragans when he takes the mound for the Kansas City Royals on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET, in the second game of a three-game series at Kauffman Stadium. The Royals are +128 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Astros (-150). Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total for the contest has been set at 9.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Houston Astros looking to J.P. France (11-5), and Ragans (6-4) answering the bell for the Kansas City Royals.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 16, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Astros vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 55%, Royals 45%

Astros vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Astros have been favored 108 times and won 57, or 52.8%, of those games.
• Houston has a record of 34-20, a 63% win rate, when favored by -150 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 60% chance to win.
• The Royals have come away with 39 wins in the 125 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Kansas City has been victorious 31 times in 96 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros were the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and finished 3-4 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Astros' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Kyle Tucker's 27 homers and 105 RBI both lead the Astros, in addition to his team-high .284 average.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Tucker's home run total ranks him 26th, and his RBI tally puts him third.
• Alex Bregman has 27 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 80 walks while batting .267.
• Bregman is 51st in homers and 12th in RBI on the year.
• Yordan Alvarez has racked up a team-high 27 home runs.
• Alvarez is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Jeremy Pena is hitting .268 with 30 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 39 walks.

Learn more about this Astros vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times.
• The Royals have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals in home runs (29), runs batted in (89) and has put up a team-best batting average of .278.
• Witt Jr. is 20th in homers and 24th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Salvador Perez has 19 doubles, 21 home runs and 18 walks while hitting .251.
• Perez ranks 66th in home runs and 68th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Maikel Garcia is batting .275 with 20 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 33 walks.
• MJ Melendez is hitting .232 with 28 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 53 walks.

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