Astros vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17

Updated Sep. 17, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros will take on Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium in the final of a three-game series, Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. The favored Astros have -247 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Royals, who are listed at +201. Houston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. A 9.5-run over/under has been set for this contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Houston Astros looking to Framber Valdez (11-10), and Jordan Lyles (4-16) getting the nod for the Kansas City Royals.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-247	+201	9.5	-107	-113	-1.5	-154	+131

Astros vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 6, Royals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 53%, Royals 47%

Astros vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Astros have entered the game as favorites 109 times this season and won 57, or 52.3%, of those games.
Houston has a record of 10-4 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -247 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 71.2%.
The Royals have won in 40, or 31.7%, of the 126 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Kansas City has a mark of 4-14 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +201 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 33.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros were the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and went 3-5 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Astros combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.
The Astros have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	6.5
HR	19
ERA	4.40
K/9	8.3

Astros Player Insights

Kyle Tucker has racked up a team-high batting average of .283, and paces the Astros in home runs (27) and runs batted in (105).
Of all hitters in baseball, Tucker's home run total ranks him 26th, and his RBI tally ranks him third.
Alex Bregman has 27 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 81 walks while hitting .270.
Bregman ranks 53rd in homers and 12th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Yordan Alvarez has put up a team-high 27 home runs.
Alvarez is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
Altuve is batting .306 with 16 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 40 walks.

Learn more about this Astros vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 3-4.
The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Royals are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	13
ERA	5.55
K/9	7.2

Royals Player Insights

Witt Jr. paces the Royals in home runs (29), runs batted in (90) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .280.
Witt Jr.'s home run total puts him 21st in the majors, and he is 24th in RBI.
Witt Jr. brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .563 with a home run, five walks and four RBI.
Salvador Perez is hitting .252 with 20 doubles, 21 home runs and 18 walks.
Among all major league hitters, Perez is 68th in home runs and 63rd in RBI.
Maikel Garcia is hitting .273 with 20 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 35 walks.
MJ Melendez has 28 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 54 walks while hitting .233.