Astros vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 24, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Alex Bregman and the Houston Astros will take on Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals at Minute Maid Park on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET, in the final game of a three-game series. The Astros are -275 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Royals (+223). Houston is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with -134 odds). A 9.5-run total has been set for the contest.

The Astros will give the ball to Hunter Brown (11-12) versus the Royals and Steven Cruz.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Astros vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet SW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-275	+223	9.5	-107	-112	-1.5	-134	+113

Astros vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 5, Royals 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 59%, Royals 41%

Astros vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Astros have entered the game as favorites 114 times this season and won 58, or 50.9%, of those games.
This season Houston has won five of its nine games, or 55.6%, when favored by at least -275 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 73.3%.
The Royals have been underdogs in 132 games this season and have come away with the win 45 times (34.1%) in those contests.
Kansas City has a mark of 3-9 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +223 or worse on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 31% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros have a 2-7 record from the nine games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Astros' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	16
ERA	4.50
K/9	9.6

Astros Player Insights

Kyle Tucker paces the Astros with 28 home runs and 109 runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .282.
Among all MLB hitters, Tucker ranks 18th in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage, and 14th in slugging.
Tucker carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with two doubles, two triples, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
Bregman is hitting .264 with 27 doubles, three triples, 24 home runs and 90 walks.
Bregman ranks 49th in homers and 17th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Yordan Alvarez paces the Astros with 28 home runs.
Alvarez will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .125 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
Jose Altuve has 20 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while batting .310.

Learn more about this Astros vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won eight of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Royals and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Royals have won eight of their last 10 games against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	9-1
Runs Per Game	6.2
HR	9
ERA	4.50
K/9	8

Royals Player Insights

Witt Jr. leads the Royals in home runs (29), runs batted in (93) and has posted a team-high batting average of .276.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Witt Jr.'s home run total ranks 24th and his RBI tally ranks 27th.
Maikel Garcia is hitting .275 with 20 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 36 walks.
Garcia ranks 330th in home runs and 164th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
MJ Melendez is hitting .233 with 28 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 59 walks.
Edward Olivares has 22 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .266.