Astros vs. Tigers AL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Sep. 30, 2024 1:01 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The AL Wild Card Series kicks off Tuesday at 2:32 p.m. ET when the Houston Astros host the Detroit Tigers live from Minute Maid Park, and airing on ABC. The Astros are favored in this one, at -138, while the underdog Tigers have +117 odds to upset. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest's total has been set at 6.5 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Astros vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 2:32 p.m. ET
Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
How to Watch on TV: ABC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros	-138	+117	6.5	-107	-114	-1.5	+184	-221

Astros vs. Tigers Prediction

Score Prediction: Astros 4, Tigers 3
Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Astros 55%, Tigers 45%

Astros vs. Tigers Betting Insights

The Astros have won 67, or 57.3%, of the 117 games they've played as favorites this season.
Houston has a record of 47-29 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -138 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 58% chance of a victory for the Astros.
The Tigers have been victorious in 46, or 48.9%, of the 94 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Detroit has a mark of 20-30 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +117 or worse on the moneyline.
The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they went 4-2 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Astros combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total four times.
The Astros are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	14
ERA	4.25
K/9	10.5

Astros Player Insights

Yordan Alvarez has a team-high batting average of .308, and leads the Astros in home runs (35) and runs batted in (86).
Of all hitters in the majors, Alvarez's home run total places him 11th, and his RBI tally puts him 32nd.
Alvarez has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
Jose Altuve is hitting .295 with 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 47 walks.
Altuve ranks 77th in home runs and 87th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Alex Bregman is batting .260 with 30 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 44 walks.
Yainer Diaz is batting .299 with 29 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 24 walks.

Learn more about this Astros vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Tigers had a record of 2-1.
The Tigers and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Tigers have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	7
ERA	3.40
K/9	8.2

Tigers Player Insights

Riley Greene paces the Tigers in home runs (24), runs batted in (74) and has put up a team-best batting average of .262.
Among all hitters in the majors, Greene's home run total ranks 42nd and his RBI tally is 61st.
Matt Vierling is batting .257 with 28 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
Vierling is 115th in homers and 125th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Colt Keith is batting .260 with 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
Kerry Carpenter is batting .284 with 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks.