Astros vs. Tigers AL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Astros vs. Tigers AL Wild Card Game 1 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2024 2:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The AL Wild Card Series starts Tuesday at 2:32 p.m. ET when the Houston Astros host the Detroit Tigers live from Minute Maid Park, and airing on ABC. The favored Astros have -152 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Tigers, who are listed at +130. Houston is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under for the contest is set at 6.5 runs.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Astros vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, October 1, 2024 at 2:32 p.m. ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas
  • How to Watch on TV: ABC
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -152 +130 6.5 -106 -114 -1.5 +169 -207

Astros vs. Tigers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Astros 4, Tigers 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 6.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 55%, Tigers 45%

Astros vs. Tigers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 67 out of the 117 games, or 57.3%, in which they've been favored.
  • This season Houston has won 40 of its 61 games, or 65.6%, when favored by at least -152 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 60.3% chance to win.
  • The Tigers have come away with 46 wins in the 94 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Detroit has won nine of 30 games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
FINAL
DET 3 · HOU 1
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Detroit Tigers
DET
Houston Astros
HOU

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and finished 4-2 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Astros combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total four times.
  • The Astros' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 14
ERA 4.25
K/9 10.5

Astros Player Insights

  • Yordan Alvarez's 35 long balls and 86 RBI both lead the Astros, on top of his team-high .308 average.
  • Of all batters in MLB, Alvarez's home run total ranks him 11th, and his RBI tally puts him 32nd.
  • Alvarez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
  • Jose Altuve has 31 doubles, 20 home runs and 47 walks while batting .295.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Altuve ranks 77th in homers and 87th in RBI.
  • Alex Bregman has 30 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .260.
  • Yainer Diaz has 29 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 24 walks while batting .299.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yordan Alvarez 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+185)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+245)
Jeremy Pena 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+240)
Alex Bregman 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+185)
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 (-150) 0.5 (-150) - 0.5 (+310)

Learn more about this Astros vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Tigers and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Tigers are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 7
ERA 3.40
K/9 8.2

Tigers Player Insights

  • Riley Greene paces the Tigers with 24 home runs and 74 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .262.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Greene is 42nd in homers and 61st in RBI.
  • Matt Vierling is batting .257 with 28 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Vierling is 115th in homers and 125th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Colt Keith is batting .260 with 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
  • Kerry Carpenter is hitting .284 with 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Vierling 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+255)
Andy Ibáñez 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-200) - 0.5 (+200)
Jake Rogers 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+255)
Justyn-Henry Malloy 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (-155) - 0.5 (+295)
Trey Sweeney 0.5 (+120) 0.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+400)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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